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Effects of terms of trade and its volatility on economic growth in India


  • Jawaid, Syed Tehseen
  • Raza, Syed Ali


This study investigates the effect of terms of trade and its volatility on economic growth in India by using the annual time series data from the period 1980 to 2010. Cointegration results suggest the significant positive long run relationship between terms of trade and economic growth. On the other hand, volatility of terms of trade has negative and significant effect on economic growth. Sensitivity analysis confirms that the results are robust. It is concluded that beneficial and less volatile terms of trade is better for economic growth in India. Policy makers should focus on diversifying Indian exports to minimize the volatility in terms of trade to ensure economic growth in the country.

Suggested Citation

  • Jawaid, Syed Tehseen & Raza, Syed Ali, 2012. "Effects of terms of trade and its volatility on economic growth in India," MPRA Paper 38998, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:38998

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas H.W. Ziesemer, 2014. "Country terms of trade: trends, unit roots, over-differencing, endogeneity, time dummies, and heterogeneity," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(6), pages 767-796, September.
    2. Gloria Clarissa O. Dzeha, 2016. "The decipher, theory or empirics: a review of remittance studies," African Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(2), pages 113-134.
    3. Ganna KHARLAMOVA & Maksim SITNITSKIY, 2016. "Growing Regional Scientific Migration And Mobility: The European Union And The Eastern Partnership," EURINT, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 3, pages 210-234.

    More about this item


    Terms of Trade; Volatility; Economic Growth;

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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