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Adopción de metas de inflación y su impacto en las expectativas de inflación y volatilidad del crecimiento económico: evidencia empírica para Bolivia
[Inflation targeting and its impact on the inflation expectations and economic growth volatility: an empirical assessment for Bolivia]

Author

Listed:
  • Valdivia, Daney
  • Loayza, Lilian

Abstract

Introduction of inflation targeting has global effects on dynamic of prices and economic growth. In case of a developing country with an increasing remonetization since 2007 – 2008 and modest growing later than 2009 it’s important to assess the adoption of a new regime and how it helps to both control inflation dynamics and expectations; and how it stabilize the business cycle of economic growth. In order to assess inflation targeting we use the methodology applied by Vega and Winkelried (2006). Results have shown that in case of the Bolivian economy the adoption of the regime is significant. In this sense, implementation of inflation targeting reduces monthly inflation expectations, -7.33% and its structural component in -1.02%. At the same time, the variance of output reduces -1.2%.

Suggested Citation

  • Valdivia, Daney & Loayza, Lilian, 2010. "Adopción de metas de inflación y su impacto en las expectativas de inflación y volatilidad del crecimiento económico: evidencia empírica para Bolivia
    [Inflation targeting and its impact on the infl
    ," MPRA Paper 37328, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Aug 2011.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:37328
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/37328/1/MPRA_paper_37328.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arjun Jayadev, 2008. "The class content of preferences towards anti-inflation and anti-unemployment policies," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 161-172.
    2. Robert Pollin & Andong Zhu, 2006. "Inflation and economic growth: a cross-country nonlinear analysis," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 593-614.
    3. Martin Melecký & Diego Rodríguez Palenzuela & Ulf Söderström, 2009. "Inflation Target Transparency and the Macroeconomy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series,in: Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Carl E. Walsh & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series (ed.), Monetary Policy under Uncertainty and Learning, edition 1, volume 13, chapter 10, pages 371-411 Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Diego Winkelried & Marco Vega, 2005. "¿Cambia la inflación cuando los países adoptan metas explícitas de inflación?," Apuntes. Revista de ciencias sociales, Fondo Editorial, Universidad del Pacífico, vol. 32(56-57), pages 139-156.
    5. Jose De Gregorio & Eric Parrado, 2006. "Overshooting Meets Inflation Targeting," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 394, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Guy Debelle & Miguel A Savastano & Paul R Masson & Sunil Sharma, 1998. "Inflation Targeting as a Framework for Monetary Policy," IMF Economic Issues 15, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Luke Byrne Willard, 2012. "Does inflation targeting matter? A reassessment," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(17), pages 2231-2244, June.
    8. Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus & Tapia, Matias, 2002. "Inflation targeting in Chile," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 125-146, August.
    9. George A. Kahn & Klara Parrish, 1998. "Conducting monetary policy with inflation targets," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q III, pages 5-32.
    10. Michael Pedersen, 2010. "Una nota introductoria a la encuesta de Expectativas Económicas," Economic Statistics Series 82, Central Bank of Chile.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation targeting; propensity score; economic growth;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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