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Una nota introductoria a la encuesta de Expectativas Económicas

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  • Michael Pedersen

Abstract

En este trabajo se describe la Encuesta de Expectativas Económicas (EEE), la que ha sido elaborada mensualmente por el Banco Central de Chile desde el año 2000. En los primeros años el cuestionario sufrió varios cambios pero, salvo modificaciones menores, mantiene su forma actual desde noviembre del 2004. La EEE está dirigida a un grupo selecto de académicos, consultores y ejecutivos o asesores del sector privado. Las respuestas sirven para evaluar expectativas a horizontes móviles (por ejemplo, 12 meses adelante) y en momentos fijos del tiempo (por ejemplo, diciembre del año en curso). Durante el periodo 2000-2009, en promedio 35 personas han contestado el cuestionario cada mes. Este documento presenta una reseña de los resultados comparándolos con las cifras efectivas.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Pedersen, 2010. "Una nota introductoria a la encuesta de Expectativas Económicas," Economic Statistics Series 82, Central Bank of Chile.
    • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchee:82
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    File URL: http://www.bcentral.cl/estudios/estudios-economicos-estadisticos/pdf/see82.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carlos Bowles & Roberta Friz & Veronique Genre & Geoff Kenny & Aidan Meyler & Tuomas Rautanen, 2007. "The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) – A review after eight years’ experience," Occasional Paper Series 59, European Central Bank.
    2. Dean Croushore, 1993. "Introducing: the survey of professional forecasters," Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, issue Nov, pages 3-15.
    3. Kenny, Geoff & Genre, Véronique & Bowles, Carlos & Friz, Roberta & Meyler, Aidan & Rautanen, Tuomas, 2007. "The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience," Occasional Paper Series 59, European Central Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Pedersen, 2013. "What Affects the Predictions of Private Forecasters? The Role of Central Bank Forecasts," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 686, Central Bank of Chile.
    2. Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Neumann, Federico, 2020. "Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey-based exchange rate forecasts in Chile," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    3. Pedersen, Michael, 2019. "Anomalies in macroeconomic prediction errors–evidence from Chilean private forecasters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1100-1107.
    4. Carlos Medel, 2018. "An econometric analysis on survey-data-based anchoring of inflation expectations in Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(2), pages 128-152, August.
    5. Valdivia, Daney & Loayza, Lilian, 2010. "Adopción de metas de inflación y su impacto en las expectativas de inflación y volatilidad del crecimiento económico: evidencia empírica para Bolivia [Inflation targeting and its impact on the inflation expectations and economic growth volatility:," MPRA Paper 37328, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Aug 2011.
    6. Pablo Pincheira, 2012. "A Joint Test of Superior Predictive Ability for Chilean Inflation Forecasts," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 15(3), pages 04-39, December.
    7. Pedersen, Michael, 2015. "What affects the predictions of private forecasters? The role of central bank forecasts in Chile," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1043-1055.

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