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The Supply Side Effects of Climate Change on Tourism

Author

Listed:
  • Moore, Winston R.
  • Harewood, Leandra
  • Grosvenor, Tiffany

Abstract

Assuming nothing is done to address greenhouse gas emissions, sea levels across the world are anticipated to rise by between 0.2m and 1m over this century. Higher sea levels can be particularly devastating to small states. It is expected that rising sea levels will result in coastal squeezing and the loss of their main tourist attraction, beach tourism. Climate change is also forecasted to result in more severe storm activity, which could also lead to flooding and damage from storm force winds. This study attempts to quantify the potential supply-side effects of climate change on tourism in the small island state of Barbados. Using a database of 181 hotels, a model is employed to evaluate the effects of coastal squeezing and storm activity on accommodation establishments.

Suggested Citation

  • Moore, Winston R. & Harewood, Leandra & Grosvenor, Tiffany, 2010. "The Supply Side Effects of Climate Change on Tourism," MPRA Paper 21469, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:21469
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bigano, Andrea & Bosello, Francesco & Roson, Roberto & Tol, Richard S.J., 2006. "Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: A Joint Analysis for Sea Level Rise and Tourism," Climate Change Modelling and Policy Working Papers 12022, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    2. Andrea Bigano & Alessandra Goria & Jacqueline Hamilton & Richard S.J. Tol, 2005. "The Effect of Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events on Tourism," Working Papers 2005.30, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    3. Nelson C. Modeste, 1995. "The Impact of Growth in the Tourism Sector on Economic Development: The Experience of Selected Caribbean Countries," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 48(3), pages 375-385.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ranson, Matthew & Tarquinio, Lisa & Lew, Audrey, 2016. "Modeling the Impact of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Losses," National Center for Environmental Economics-NCEE Working Papers 280932, United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
    2. -, 2011. "An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in Saint Lucia," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38612, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    3. -, 2011. "An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the water sector in Grenada," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38580, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    4. Mesfin Bekele Gebbisa & Abdi Shukri Yasin & Zsuzsanna Bacsi, 2024. "Impacts of Weather Variability on the International Tourism Receipts—Evidence from Ethiopia (1995–2019)," Tourism and Hospitality, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-23, May.
    5. -, 2011. "An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in the Bahamas," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38601, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    6. Michael Bernardi & Michele Cascarano & Francesca Modena, 2025. "Weathering the storm: the impact of the Vaia storm on tourism flows," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 178(2), pages 1-23, February.
    7. -, 2011. "An assessment of the economic impact of Climate Change on the Macroeconomy in the Caribbean," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 40037, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    8. -, 2011. "An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in Montserrat," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38611, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    9. -, 2011. "An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the water sector in Saint Vincent and The Grenadines," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38579, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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