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What really matters for income growth in the Philippines: Empirical evidence from provincial data

  • Mapa, Dennis S.
  • Balisacan, Arsenio
  • Briones, Kristine Joy S.
  • Albis, Manuel Leonard F.

The provincial per capita income growth in the Philippines can be considered as generally dismal in the last three decades. In trying to investigate this phenomenon, the paper applies robustness procedures to identify variables strongly correlated with provincial income growth in the Philippines. The extreme bound analysis and Bayesian averaging of classical estimates procedures are applied to fifteen determinants of income growth from a data set consisting of 74 Philippine provinces for the period 1985 to 2003. Results show that the high level of inequality is a serious obstacle to Philippine economic growth. The study also shows that the percentage of young dependents, or those aged 0 to 14 years, over the total population also hinders the provincial income growth.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/19449/1/MPRA_paper_19449.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 19449.

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Date of creation: Jan 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19449
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  1. Edward E. Leamer, 1982. "Let's Take the Con Out of Econometrics," UCLA Economics Working Papers 239, UCLA Department of Economics.
  2. Dennis S. Mapa & Kristine Joy S. Briones, 2007. "Robustness procedures in economic growth regression models," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, vol. 44(2), pages 71-84, December.
  3. Hal Hill & Budy P. Resosudarmo, 2012. "Introduction," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(2), pages 129-142, August.
  4. BAUMONT, Catherine & ERTUR, Cem & LE GALLO, Julie, 2001. "A Spatial Econometric Analysis of Geographic Spillovers and Growth for European Regions, 1980-1995," LATEC - Document de travail - Economie (1991-2003) 2001-04, LATEC, Laboratoire d'Analyse et des Techniques EConomiques, CNRS UMR 5118, Université de Bourgogne.
  5. David E. Bloom & David Canning & Jocelyn E. Finlay, 2008. "Demographic Change and Economic Growth in Asia," PGDA Working Papers 4108, Program on the Global Demography of Aging.
  6. Robert J. Barro, 2013. "Inflation and Economic Growth," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 14(1), pages 121-144, May.
  7. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1990. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," NBER Working Papers 3541, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Balisacan, Arsenio M. & Fuwa, Nobuhiko, 2004. "Going beyond Crosscountry Averages: Growth, Inequality and Poverty Reduction in the Philippines," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(11), pages 1891-1907, November.
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