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What really matters for income growth in the Philippines: Empirical evidence from provincial data

Author

Listed:
  • Mapa, Dennis S.
  • Balisacan, Arsenio
  • Briones, Kristine Joy S.
  • Albis, Manuel Leonard F.

Abstract

The provincial per capita income growth in the Philippines can be considered as generally dismal in the last three decades. In trying to investigate this phenomenon, the paper applies robustness procedures to identify variables strongly correlated with provincial income growth in the Philippines. The extreme bound analysis and Bayesian averaging of classical estimates procedures are applied to fifteen determinants of income growth from a data set consisting of 74 Philippine provinces for the period 1985 to 2003. Results show that the high level of inequality is a serious obstacle to Philippine economic growth. The study also shows that the percentage of young dependents, or those aged 0 to 14 years, over the total population also hinders the provincial income growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Mapa, Dennis S. & Balisacan, Arsenio & Briones, Kristine Joy S. & Albis, Manuel Leonard F., 2009. "What really matters for income growth in the Philippines: Empirical evidence from provincial data," MPRA Paper 19449, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19449
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/19449/1/MPRA_paper_19449.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David E. BLOOM & Jocelyn E. FINLAY, 2009. "Demographic Change and Economic Growth in Asia," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 4(1), pages 45-64.
    2. Robert J. Barro, 2013. "Inflation and Economic Growth," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 14(1), pages 121-144, May.
    3. Leamer, Edward E, 1983. "Let's Take the Con Out of Econometrics," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(1), pages 31-43, March.
    4. BAUMONT, Catherine & ERTUR, Cem & LE GALLO, Julie, 2001. "A Spatial Econometric Analysis of Geographic Spillovers and Growth for European Regions, 1980-1995," LATEC - Document de travail - Economie (1991-2003) 2001-04, LATEC, Laboratoire d'Analyse et des Techniques EConomiques, CNRS UMR 5118, Université de Bourgogne.
    5. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
    6. Balisacan, Arsenio M. & Mapa, Dennis S. & Briones, Kristine Joy S., 2007. "Robust Determinants of Income Growth in the Philippines," Philippine Journal of Development PJD 2006 Vol. XXXIII Nos., Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    7. Arsenio M. Balisacan, 1997. "Growth and Equity in the Philippines," UP School of Economics Discussion Papers 199705, University of the Philippines School of Economics.
    8. Hal Hill & Budy P. Resosudarmo, 2012. "Introduction," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(2), pages 129-142, August.
    9. Balisacan, Arsenio M. & Fuwa, Nobuhiko, 2004. "Going beyond Crosscountry Averages: Growth, Inequality and Poverty Reduction in the Philippines," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(11), pages 1891-1907, November.
    10. Dennis S. Mapa & Kristine Joy S. Briones, 2007. "Robustness procedures in economic growth regression models," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, vol. 44(2), pages 71-84, December.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Takahiro Akita & Mark Saliganan Pagulayan, 2014. "Structural Changes And Interregional Income Inequality In The Philippines, 1975–2009," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 135-154, July.
    2. Valenzuela, Maria Rebecca & Wong, Wing-Keung & Zhen, Zhu Zhen, 2017. "Income and Consumption Inequality in the Philippines: A Stochastic Dominance Analysis of Household Unit Records," ADBI Working Papers 662, Asian Development Bank Institute.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Extreme Bound Analysis; Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates; Inequality; Young Dependents;

    JEL classification:

    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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