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Economic Growth and Population Transition inChina and India 1990-2018

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  • Chaurasia, Aalok Ranjan

Abstract

This paper analyses the trend in economic growth and population transition in China and India during 1990-2018 through a comparative perspective. The analysis follows a decomposition framework which argues that economic growth has a pure demographic component and a pure economic component and it is the latter which actually contributes to improving the standard of living. Using the data available through the World Bank, United Nations Population Division and International Labour Organization, the paper reveals that most of the economic growth in China during 1990-2018 has contributed to improving the standard of living. By contrast, a substantial proportion of economic growth in India has been the result of the demographic factors that contribute little to improve the quality of life of the people. The paper concludes that China needs to explore possibilities of productive utilisation of the old people to sustain economic growth whereas India requires reinvigorating the economic system and accelerating population transition to improve the quality of life of its people.

Suggested Citation

  • Chaurasia, Aalok Ranjan, 2020. "Economic Growth and Population Transition inChina and India 1990-2018," MPRA Paper 101130, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:101130
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/101130/1/MPRA_paper_101130.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. T. Fent & B. Mahlberg & A. Prskawetz, 2008. "Demographic Change and Economic Growth," Springer Books, in: Florian Kohlbacher & Cornelius Herstatt (ed.), The Silver Market Phenomenon, chapter 1, pages 3-16, Springer.
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    4. William Joe & Atish Kumar Dash & Pradeep Agrawal, 2015. "Demographic Transition, Savings, and Economic Growth in China and India," IEG Working Papers 351, Institute of Economic Growth.
    5. David E. Bloom, 2011. "Population Dynamics in India and Implications for Economic Growth," PGDA Working Papers 6511, Program on the Global Demography of Aging.
    6. Jane Golley & Rod Tyers, 2011. "Contrasting Giants: Demographic Change and Economic Performance in China and India," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 11-04, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    7. Wang, Xinxin & Chen, Kevin & Huang, Zuhui, 2013. "The Impact of China's Demographic Transition on Economic Growth and Income Distribution: CGE Modeling with Top-Down Micro-Simulation," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 151276, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; population transition; China; India; standard of living;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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