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Inversión en infraestructura y demanda turística: una aplicacion del enfoque de control sintético para el caso de Kuélap, Perú

Author

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  • Erick Lahura

    (Banco Central de Reserva del Perú / Departamento de Economía de la Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú)

  • Rosario Sabrera

    (Universidad Científica del Sur)

Abstract

¿Cuál es el efecto de la inversión en infraestructura sobre la demanda turística? Para responder a esta pregunta, se analiza el caso del Complejo Arqueológico Kuélap, el cual se ha hecho más atractivo y accesible luego de la construcción del primer sistema de telecabinas del Perú y de la reconstrucción del aeropuerto de Jaén. La hipótesis que se plantea es que dicha inversión en infraestructura ha tenido un efecto positivo e importante sobre la demanda turística de Kuélap. Para evaluar la validez de esta hipótesis, se aplica un estudio de caso comparativo en el cual se utiliza un “control sintético” construido a partir de la información de los diferentes sitios arqueológicos del Perú similares a Kuélap. Este control sintético permite estimar cuál hubiera sido la evolución de las visitas a Kuélap si no se hubiera realizado la inversión en infraestructura turística. De esta forma, el efecto causal de dicha inversión es la diferencia entre las visitas observadas y las visitas del control sintético. Los resultados muestran que la inversión en infraestructura turística generó un aumento de aproximadamente 100 por ciento en el número de visitas a Kuélap. JEL Classification-JEL: C21, H54, L83, R42, Z30

Suggested Citation

  • Erick Lahura & Rosario Sabrera, 2020. "Inversión en infraestructura y demanda turística: una aplicacion del enfoque de control sintético para el caso de Kuélap, Perú," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-491, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    • Handle: RePEc:pcp:pucwps:wp00491
    DOI: 10.18800/2079-8474.0491
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Giovanna Aguilar Andía & Jhonatan Portilla Goicochea, 2020. "Competencia, alcance social y sostenibilidad financiera en las microfinanzas reguladas peruanas," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-493, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • R42 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance; Transportation Planning
    • Z30 - Other Special Topics - - Tourism Economics - - - General

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