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The Resource Curse and Fiscal Policy Volatility

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  • Michael Bleaney
  • Håvard Halland

Abstract

Using data from 1980 to 2004, we show that greater fiscal policy volatility acts as a transmission mechanism for the ‘resource curse’. Resource exports dominate political and institutional variables as determinants of fiscal policy volatility, with fiscal policy volatility being a significant determinant of growth. The existence of a resource curse is confirmed, in the sense that a higher ratio of natural resource exports to total merchandise exports is associated with significantly slower per capita GDP growth. There are no statistically significant differences between the effects of point-source and diffuse resource exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Bleaney & Håvard Halland, 2009. "The Resource Curse and Fiscal Policy Volatility," Discussion Papers 09/09, University of Nottingham, CREDIT.
    • Handle: RePEc:not:notcre:09/09
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    Cited by:

    1. Joya, Omar, 2015. "Growth and volatility in resource-rich countries: Does diversification help?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 38-55.
    2. Nuno Torres, Oscar Afonso, and Isabel Soares, 2012. "Oil Abundance and Economic Growth--A Panel Data Analysis," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    3. Nuno Torres & Oscar Afonso & Isabel Soares, 2013. "Natural Resources, Wage Growth and Institutions – a Panel Approach," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 661-687, May.
    4. Nuno Torres & Óscar Afonso & Isabel Soares, 2010. "The connection between oil and economic growth revisited," FEP Working Papers 377, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    5. Huawei, Tian, 2022. "Does gross domestic product, inflation, total investment, and exchanges rate matter in natural resources commodity prices volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

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