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Is There a 'Bubble' in the Housing Market Now?

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  • Jonathan McCarthy
  • Richard W. Peach

Abstract

Real home prices have been rising strongly since the mid-1990s, and have continued to do so even as the economy has weakened. This has sparked the concern as to whether there is a bubble in the housing market, the collapse of which could harm the overall economy. Taking into account fundamentals – including more appropriate price indices and interest rates – aggregate home prices are relatively high but not yet out of line. Home prices in some areas still may be set for a fall; however, prices in these areas typically have been volatile. Previous large home value declines in these areas have not had a sizable negative effect on the aggregate economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan McCarthy & Richard W. Peach, 2005. "Is There a 'Bubble' in the Housing Market Now?," NFI Policy Briefs 2005-PB-01, Indiana State University, Scott College of Business, Networks Financial Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:nfi:nfipbs:2005-pb-01
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    File URL: http://www.indstate.edu/business/sites/business.indstate.edu/files/Docs/2005-PB-01_McCarthy_Peach.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Béchir Bouzid, 2010. "Titrisation des emprunts hypothécaires et bulle immobilière aux États-Unis : les origines d’une débâcle," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 97(2), pages 101-142.
    2. Panzera, Fabio S., 2011. "Price stability and financial imbalances: rethinking the macrofinancial framework after the 2007-8 financial crisis," FSES Working Papers 423, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    3. Efthymios Pavlidis & I Paya & D Peel & A M Spiru, 2009. "Bubbles in House Prices and their Impact on Consumption: Evidence for the US," Working Papers 601552, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.

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