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Nominal exchange rate shocks and inflation in an open economy: towards a structuralist inflation targeting agenda

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo F. Bastian

    () (Institute of Economics, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (IE-UFRJ))

  • Mark Setterfield

    ()

Abstract

This paper develops a model of inflation in an open economy. The model permits analysis of the susceptibility of open economies to permanent inflationary consequences arising from transitory foreign exchange shocks. Sources of structural vulnerability to such events are identified, and means of addressing these structural vulnerabilities are discussed. Ultimately, the paper arrives at a “structuralist inflation targeting agenda”. Based on a proper conception of inflation dynamics, this involves “getting inflation targeting right” rather than either accepting mainstream inflation targeting prescriptions or simply neglecting inflation altogether.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo F. Bastian & Mark Setterfield, 2017. "Nominal exchange rate shocks and inflation in an open economy: towards a structuralist inflation targeting agenda," Working Papers 1720, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:new:wpaper:1720
    as

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    File URL: http://www.economicpolicyresearch.org/econ/2017/NSSR_WP_202017.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Rowthorn, R E, 1977. "Conflict, Inflation and Money," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 1(3), pages 215-239, September.
    3. Stiglitz, Joseph & Ocampo, Jose Antonio & Spiegel, Shari & Ffrench-Davis, Ricardo & Nayyar, Deepak, 2006. "Stability with Growth: Macroeconomics, Liberalization and Development," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199288144.
    4. Bhaduri, Amit & Marglin, Stephen, 1990. "Unemployment and the Real Wage: The Economic Basis for Contesting Political Ideologies," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(4), pages 375-393, December.
    5. Rafael Saulo Marques Ribeiro & John S. L. McCombie & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2017. "Some unpleasant currency-devaluation arithmetic in a post Keynesian macromodel," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 145-167, April.
    6. Mark Setterfield, 2006. "Is inflation targeting compatible with Post Keynesian economics?," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 653-671.
    7. Sébastien Charles & Jonathan Marie, 2016. "Hyperinflation in a small open economy with a fixed exchange rate: A post Keynesian view," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 361-386, July.
    8. Marc Lavoie, 1992. "Foundations of Post-Keynesian Economic Analysis," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 275, December.
    9. Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Antonio Pompa Rangel, 2016. "What Do Latin American Inflation Targeters Care About? A Comparative Bayesian Estimation of Central Bank Preferences," Economics & Management Discussion Papers em-dp2016-12, Henley Business School, Reading University.
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    14. repec:mes:postke:v:38:y:2015:i:4:p:637-665 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Eduardo F. Bastian & Mark Setterfield, 2015. "A simple analytical model of the adverse real effects of inflation," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 637-665, November.
    16. Mark Setterfield, 2006. "Balancing the Macroeconomic Books on the Backs of Workers: A Simple Analytical Political Economy Model of Contemporary U.S. Capitalism," International Journal of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 46-63.
    17. Martín Abeles & Demian Panigo, 2015. "Dealing with cost-push inflation in Latin America: multi-causality in a context of increased openness and commodity price volatility," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 3(4), pages 517—535-5, October.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; strato-inflation; nominal exchange rate shocks; conflicting claims; hysteresis; capital controls; industrial policy;

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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