Description Length Based Signal Detection in singular Spectrum Analysis
This paper provides an information theoretic analysis of the signal-noise separation problem in Singular Spectrum Analysis. We present a signal-plus-noise model based on the Karhunen-Loève expansion and use this model to motivate the construction of a minimum description length criterion that can be employed to select both the window length and the signal. We show that under very general regularity conditions the criterion will identify the true signal dimension with probability one as the sample size increases, and will choose the smallest window length consistent with the Whitney embedding theorem. Empirical results obtained using simulated and real world data sets indicate that the asymptotic theory is reflected in observed behaviour, even in relatively small samples.
|Date of creation:||24 May 2010|
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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- D.S. Poskitt & Jing Zhang, 2004. "Estimating Components in Finite Mixtures and Hidden Markov Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 10/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Hassani, Hossein, 2007. "Singular Spectrum Analysis: Methodology and Comparison," MPRA Paper 4991, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- D. S. Poskitt & Arivalzahan Sengarapillai, 2009.
"Description Length and Dimensionality Reduction in Functional Data Analysis,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
13/09, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Poskitt, D.S. & Sengarapillai, Arivalzahan, 2013. "Description length and dimensionality reduction in functional data analysis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 98-113.
- Hansen M. H & Yu B., 2001. "Model Selection and the Principle of Minimum Description Length," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 746-774, June.
- Hassani, Hossein & Heravi, Saeed & Zhigljavsky, Anatoly, 2009. "Forecasting European industrial production with singular spectrum analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 103-118.
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