Linkages between spot and futures prices: Tests of the Fama-French-Samuelson hypotheses
This paper develops GARCH and VEC-MGARCH-based tests of four hypotheses from Fama and French (1988) involving linkages between spot and futures prices --- both their levels and variances. The tests are applied to monthly data for seven metals traded on the London Metal Exchange over the period 1988:11, where available, through 2008:07.
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