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O Acordo de Parceria Transatlântica entre a UE e os EUA constitui uma ameaça ou uma oportunidade para a Economia Portuguesa?

Author

Listed:
  • João Leão

    (Office for Strategy and Studies (GEE), Portuguese Ministry of Economy; ISCTE- University Institute of Lisbon)

  • Guida Nogueira

    (Office for Strategy and Studies (GEE), Portuguese Ministry of Economy)

Abstract

O acordo de Parceria Transatlântica de Comércio e Investimento (TTIP) é uma proposta de acordo de comércio livre entre a União Europeia e os EUA que irá criar o maior espaço económico integrado do mundo. Neste artigo avalia-se o potencial impacto da TTIP sobre a economia portuguesa ao nível do comércio internacional de bens. Através da análise do perfil de especialização produtiva de Portugal EUA e UE e das vantagens comparativas reveladas por cada país, mostra-se que a TTIP será potencialmente benéfica para a economia portuguesa no que se refere ao comércio de bens. Com efeito o perfil de especialização produtiva de Portugal é bastante distinto do dos EUA, tendo Portugal vantagens comparativas em sectores substancialmente diferentes dos EUA. Assim sendo, a TTIP constitui uma oportunidade de expansão para vários sectores exportadores portugueses, ao permitir um acesso mais facilitado a um grande mercado como o dos EUA. Ao mesmo tempo, os dados sugerem que existem poucos sectores portugueses que sofrerão no mercado europeu de uma concorrência acrescida significativa por parte dos produtores americanos. Finalmente, mostra-se que Portugal pode beneficiar de acesso a produtos americanos em condições mais vantajosas, em particular nos produtos que actualmente Portugal apenas importa da UE por estarem isentos de barreiras alfandegárias. Desta forma Portugal poderá beneficiar com a redução do desvio de comércio que se verificou quando Portugal integrou a UE.

Suggested Citation

  • João Leão & Guida Nogueira, 2014. "O Acordo de Parceria Transatlântica entre a UE e os EUA constitui uma ameaça ou uma oportunidade para a Economia Portuguesa?," GEE Papers 0053, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Nov 2014.
    • Handle: RePEc:mde:wpaper:0053
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    File URL: https://www.gee.gov.pt/RePEc/WorkingPapers/GEE_PAPERS_53.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nicole Palan, 2010. "Measurement of Specialization – The Choice of Indices," FIW Working Paper series 062, FIW.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    TTIP; Especialização/Diversificação Produtiva; Globalização.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F60 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - General

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