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Trump Pressuring the Fed


  • Peter Tillmann

    () (Justus-Liebig-University Giessen)


After appointing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, President Trump steadily put pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates. We show that, on average, a statement from Trump led to lower long-term interest rates, consistent with expectations of lower expected future short rates. However, the impact of Trump's statements declined over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Tillmann, 2019. "Trump Pressuring the Fed," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201920, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  • Handle: RePEc:mar:magkse:201920

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Demiralp, Selva & King, Sharmila & Scotti, Chiara, 2019. "Does anyone listen when politicians talk? The effect of political commentaries on policy rate decisions and expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 95-111.
    2. Scotti, Chiara, 2016. "Surprise and uncertainty indexes: Real-time aggregation of real-activity macro-surprises," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1-19.
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    Federal Reserve; monetary policy; yield curve; political economy; central bank independence;

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