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Derivatives and Default Risk

  • Scholz, Sebastian
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    Upstream producers that possess market power, sell forwards with a lengthy duration to regional electricity companies (REC). As part of the liberalization of the electricity market, RECs have been privatized and exposed to a possible bankruptcy threat if spot prices have fallen below their expected value. The downstream firms’ expected profit is larger, when it is less likely to be bailed out, the effect on upstream profits is ambiguous while consumers loose. Options are less welfare increasing than forwards, but the difference is minimal. In the presence of bankruptcy, options are the preferred welfare maximizing market instrument.

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    Paper provided by University of Munich, Department of Economics in its series Discussion Papers in Economics with number 11317.

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    Date of creation: Jan 2010
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    Handle: RePEc:lmu:muenec:11317
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    1. Green, R., 2004. "Retail Competition and Electricity Contracts," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0406, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
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    8. MURPHY, Frederic & SMEERS, Yves, 2005. "Forward markets may not decrease market power when capacities are endogenous," CORE Discussion Papers 2005028, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    9. David M. Newbery, 1998. "Competition, Contracts, and Entry in the Electricity Spot Market," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 29(4), pages 726-749, Winter.
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    11. Veronika Grimm & Gregor Zoettl, 2006. "Access to Commitment Devices Reduces Investment Incentives in Oligopoly," Working Paper Series in Economics 25, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.
    12. Bert Willems, 2004. "Cournot Competition, Financial Option markets and Efficiency," Center for Economic Studies - Discussion papers ces0414, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Centrum voor Economische Studiën.
    13. Green, Richard, 1997. "Transmission pricing in England and Wales," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 185-193, September.
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    16. Allaz Blaise & Vila Jean-Luc, 1993. "Cournot Competition, Forward Markets and Efficiency," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 1-16, February.
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