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Idiosyncrasy of Business Cycles Across EU Countries

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  • Jesper Gregers Linaa

Abstract

This paper analyses the underlying dynamics of business cycles in the EU-15. Existing literature mainly focuses n the comovement of expansion and contraction phases, while this paper seeks to test the idiosyncrasy of business cycles by studying growth pattern and deepness of industrial production. Hypotheses are tested using formal statistical methods while much existing literature in this field rely on judgements of correlation coefficients. The results obtained here does not give much rise to concern about the possibility of the ECB to choose an appropriate timing and magnitude of changes in monetary policy in order to satisfy the economic development in its member countries.

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  • Jesper Gregers Linaa, "undated". "Idiosyncrasy of Business Cycles Across EU Countries," EPRU Working Paper Series 02-08, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:kud:epruwp:02-08
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    File URL: http://www.econ.ku.dk/epru/files/wp/wp-02-08.pdf
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    1. Uhlig, H.F.H.V.S. & Ravn, M., 1997. "On Adjusting the H-P Filter for the Frequency of Observations," Discussion Paper 1997-50, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    2. Allan Layton & Daniel Smith, 2000. "A further note on the three phases of the US business cycle," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(9), pages 1133-1143.
    3. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
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