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Lockdown Strategies, Mobility Patterns and COVID-19

Author

Listed:
  • Askitas, Nikos

    (IZA)

  • Tatsiramos, Konstantinos

    (University of Luxembourg)

  • Verheyden, Bertrand

    (LISER (CEPS/INSTEAD))

Abstract

We develop a multiple-events model and exploit within and between country variation in the timing, type and level of intensity of various non-pharmaceutical interventions to study their dynamic effects on the daily incidence of COVID-19 and on population mobility patterns across 135 countries. Taking into account the contemporaneous presence of multiple interventions, we remove concurrent policy bias from the effect of each policy of interest, and we establish that policies curb the epidemic by changing population mobility patterns in a manner consistent with time-use and epidemiologically relevant considerations. We are thus able to shed light on the mechanisms through which confinement measures contribute to "flattening the curve".

Suggested Citation

  • Askitas, Nikos & Tatsiramos, Konstantinos & Verheyden, Bertrand, 2020. "Lockdown Strategies, Mobility Patterns and COVID-19," IZA Discussion Papers 13293, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp13293
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Martin Huber & Henrika Langen, 2020. "Timing matters: the impact of response measures on COVID-19-related hospitalization and death rates in Germany and Switzerland," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 156(1), pages 1-19, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    R0; mobility; pandemic; 2019 novel coronavirus; lockdown; confinement measures; quarantine; transmission; behavior; incidence; COVID-19; compliance; non-pharmaceutical interventions; NPI; basic reproduction number; SIR model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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