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ORANI-IT: a computable general equilibrium model of Italy

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  • Francesco Felici
  • Maria Gesualdo

Abstract

This paper presents the comparative-static national disaggregate Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the Italian economy, ORANI-IT, which represents the starting point to the development of a tax CGE model of Italy. The model, designed at the Department of Treasury of the Italian Ministry of the Economy and Finance, in collaboration with the Centre of Policy Studies (CoPS), and currently managed at Sogei S.p.A. (IT Economia - Modelli di Previsione ed Analisi Statistiche), is intended for policy analysis. The aim of this paper is to provide a complete description of the theoretical specification of the model and to illustrate the process of compiling the model�s database. Departing from the core structure, features of the Italian model in the context of ORANI-style models, developed at CoPS, are highlighted, as data availability allowed us to improve the modelling of the investment matrix and the demand of labour. The result is a more reliable model with a broader level of analysis. The paper concludes with the model�s validation, which among several checks, consists in an illustrative two targets/two instruments simulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Felici & Maria Gesualdo, 2014. "ORANI-IT: a computable general equilibrium model of Italy," Working Papers 7, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:itt:wpaper:2014-7
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    Cited by:

    1. Felici Francesco & Maria Gesualdo, 2014. "Fiscal extension to ORANI-IT: a computable general equilibrium model for Italy," Working Papers 8, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
    2. Alarudeen Aminu, 2019. "A recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis of value-added tax policy options for Nigeria," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 8(1), pages 1-38, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model; model's validation; Italy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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