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Do Changes in the Labour Market Take Families out of Poverty? Determinants of Exiting Poverty in Brazilian Metropolitan Regions

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  • Ana Flávia Machado

    (IPC-IG)

  • Rafael Perez Ribas

    (IPC-IG)

Abstract

Using survival models, we test whether short-term changes in the labour market affect poverty duration. Data are from the Brazilian Monthly Employment Survey. Such a monthly dataset permits more accurate estimations of events than using annual data, but its panel follows households for a short period. Then methods that control for both right- and left-censoring should be used. The results are as follows: households with zero income are not those with the lowest chances of exiting; changes in aggregate unemployment do not affect poverty duration; and increasing wages in the informal sector has a negative effect on poverty duration.
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Suggested Citation

  • Ana Flávia Machado & Rafael Perez Ribas, 2008. "Do Changes in the Labour Market Take Families out of Poverty? Determinants of Exiting Poverty in Brazilian Metropolitan Regions," Working Papers 44, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipc:wpaper:44
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Santiago Poy, 2023. "In-work poverty dynamics: trigger events and short-term trajectories in Argentina," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 57(1), pages 1-16, December.
    2. Jeyapraba Suresh, 2023. "Poverty is Lack of Capabilities: A Literature Review," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(3), pages 462-476, March.
    3. Haagh, Louise, 2011. "Working Life, Well-Being and Welfare Reform: Motivation and Institutions Revisited," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 450-473, March.
    4. Camargo, Fernanda S. & Takasago, Milene & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Farias, Aquiles Rocha de & Imori, Denise & Mollo, Maria de Lourdes Rollemberg & Andrade, Joaquim Pinto de, 2008. "O turismo e a economia brasileira: uma discussão da matriz de insumo-produto [Tourism and the Brazilian economy: a discussion about the input-output matrix]," MPRA Paper 54038, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Jennifer Fernández-Ramos & Ana K. Garcia-Guerra & Jorge Garza-Rodriguez & Gabriela Morales-Ramirez, 2016. "The dynamics of poverty transitions in Mexico," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 43(11), pages 1082-1095, November.
    6. Luis Beccaria & Roxana Maurizio & Ana Fernández & Paula Monsalvo & Mariana Álvarez, 2013. "Urban poverty and labor market dynamics in five Latin American countries: 2003–2008," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 11(4), pages 555-580, December.
    7. GRIES, Thomas & PALNAU, Irene, 2016. "Distress Beyond Poverty: Spatial Patterns And Geographic Aspects Of Vulnerability In Brazil," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 16(2), pages 53-70.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Duration of poverty spell; Poverty exit; Labour market; Survival models for left-censored data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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