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Recent Shifts in Capital Flow Patterns in Korea: An Investor Base Perspective

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  • Mr. Niels-Jakob H Hansen
  • Signe Krogstrup

Abstract

Koreas cross border capital flows have tended to respond negatively in global risk-off episodes, resulting in volatility in the foreign exchange market and occasional policy responses in the form of foreign exchange interventions. We study the relationship between Korean capital flows and global volatility up to 2018. The response of capital flows during risk-off episodes have become more muted over time, and occasional safe-haven type flows into Korean bond markets have helped counterbalance the tendency for portfolio investors to leave. We describe these changing patterns and relate them to shifts in Korea’s domestic investor base. We discuss whether they reflect a sustained shift in the sensitivity of Koreas capital flow pressures to global risk-off episodes, and implications for monetary and exchange rate policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Niels-Jakob H Hansen & Signe Krogstrup, 2019. "Recent Shifts in Capital Flow Patterns in Korea: An Investor Base Perspective," IMF Working Papers 2019/262, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/262
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Valentina Bruno & Hyun Song Shin, 2013. "Assessing Macroprudential Policies: Case of Korea," NBER Working Papers 19084, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Robert Neil McCauley & Chang Shu, 2016. "Non-deliverable forwards: impact of currency internationalisation and derivatives reform," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    3. Ms. Yuko Hashimoto & Signe Krogstrup, 2019. "Capital Flows: The Role of Bank and Nonbank Balance Sheets," IMF Working Papers 2019/085, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Tobias Adrian & Hyun Song Shin, 2014. "Procyclical Leverage and Value-at-Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(2), pages 373-403.
    5. Angelo Ranaldo & Paul Söderlind, 2010. "Safe Haven Currencies," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 14(3), pages 385-407.
    6. Tille, Cédric & Krogstrup, Signe, 2018. "Foreign Currency Bank Funding and Global Factors," CEPR Discussion Papers 12933, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Ricardo Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2018. "A risk-centric model of demand recessions and macroprudential policy," BIS Working Papers 733, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Linda S. Goldberg & Signe Krogstrup, 2018. "International Capital Flow Pressures," NBER Working Papers 24286, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Valentina Bruno & Hyun Song Shin, 2013. "Assessing Macroprudential Policies: Case of Korea," NBER Working Papers 19084, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Habib, Maurizio M. & Stracca, Livio, 2012. "Getting beyond carry trade: What makes a safe haven currency?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 50-64.
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    Cited by:

    1. Joonyoung Hur & Kyunghun Kim, 2020. "Time-varying Effect of Monetary Policy on Capital Flows in Korea," Working Papers 2003, Nam Duck-Woo Economic Research Institute, Sogang University (Former Research Institute for Market Economy).
    2. Youngjin Yun, 2020. "Post-crisis changes in the pattern of capital flows - The case of Korea," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 601-611.

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