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The Evolution of Asian Financial Linkages: Key Determinants and the Role of Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Selim A Elekdag
  • Mr. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul
  • Mr. Yiqun Wu

Abstract

This paper examines how Asian financial linkages with systemic economies have changed over time. After developing a factor model, it estimates Asian financial sensitivities to systemic economies, and then seeks to uncover their key determinants, which include trade and financial linkages, as well as policies. In line with Asia’s growing role in the global economy—including through deeper financial integration—regional financial markets have become more sensitive to systemic economies. Asian financial sensitivities to systemic economies exhibit cyclical fluctuations, and reached historically high levels during the latest global financial crisis of 2008–09. While macroeconomic policy frameworks have helped Asian economies cope well with market turbulence, they cannot completely insulate Asian financial markets against major global financial shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Selim A Elekdag & Mr. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul & Mr. Yiqun Wu, 2012. "The Evolution of Asian Financial Linkages: Key Determinants and the Role of Policy," IMF Working Papers 2012/262, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2012/262
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2004. "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 119(1), pages 1-48.
    2. Mr. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2011. "Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia: An Asset Price Perspective," IMF Working Papers 2011/242, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Geert Bekaert & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Arnaud Mehl, 2014. "The Global Crisis and Equity Market Contagion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(6), pages 2597-2649, December.
    4. Mr. Stephan Danninger & Ms. Irina Tytell & Mr. Ravi Balakrishnan & Mr. Selim A Elekdag, 2009. "The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies," IMF Working Papers 2009/133, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Kristin J. Forbes & Menzie D. Chinn, 2004. "A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(3), pages 705-722, August.
    6. Nickell, Stephen J, 1981. "Biases in Dynamic Models with Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(6), pages 1417-1426, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Cavoli, Tony & Rajan, Ramkishen S., 2015. "Capital inflows and the interest premium problem: The effects of monetary sterilisation in selected Asian economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1-18.
    2. Moses Kangogo & Mardi Dungey & Vladimir Volkov, 2023. "Changing vulnerability in Asia: contagion and spillovers," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2315-2355, May.
    3. Mr. Serkan Arslanalp & Wei Liao & Shi Piao & Dulani Seneviratne, 2016. "China’s Growing Influence on Asian Financial Markets," IMF Working Papers 2016/173, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Lee, Jinsoo & Yu, Bok-Keun, 2018. "What Drives the Stock Market Comovements between Korea and China, Japan and the U.S.?," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 40(1), pages 45-66.
    5. Lillie Lam & James Yetman, 2013. "Asia’s decoupling: fact, forecast or fiction?," BIS Working Papers 438, Bank for International Settlements.

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