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Trade Policy toward Supply Chains after the Great Recession

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  • Chad P. Bown

    () (Peterson Institute for International Economics)

Abstract

How does trade policy treat intermediate inputs relative to other imported products? Slow economic and trade growth during the recovery from the Great Recession, as well as recent political developments in the United Kingdom and the United States, pose a threat to cross-border supply chains and have thus brought this question to the forefront of policy circles. By examining new and detailed data on the Group of 20 (G-20) countries, this paper investigates trade policy use through 2016, with special emphasis on changes in policymaking behavior since 2010. First, there is no evidence that the G-20 economies made significant changes to their applied import tariffs during this period. However, there has been a modest increase in import protection arising through other policy instruments of note such as the temporary trade barriers (TTBs) of antidumping, countervailing duties, and safeguards. More importantly, there is evidence of changes in how countries have applied their TTBs. TTBs were increasingly imposed on imports not only from China but also from other countries, reversing a post-2001 trend. Furthermore, TTB protection has moved away from imports of final goods and toward imports of intermediate inputs. These shifts in policy have several potential contributing causes as well as economic consequences, including for cross-border supply chains.

Suggested Citation

  • Chad P. Bown, 2018. "Trade Policy toward Supply Chains after the Great Recession," Working Paper Series WP18-13, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:iie:wpaper:wp18-13
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chad P. Bown & Meredith A. Crowley, 2013. "Self-Enforcing Trade Agreements: Evidence from Time-Varying Trade Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(2), pages 1071-1090, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chad Brown & Paola Conconi & Aksel Erbahar & Lorenzo Trimarchi, 2020. "Trade Protection Along Supply Chains," Working Papers ECARES 2020-52, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. Lionel Fontagné & Cecilia Bellora, 2019. "Shooting oneself in the foot? US trade policy coping with Global Value Chains," Post-Print hal-02128135, HAL.
    3. Sébastien Miroudot & Håkan Nordström, 2020. "Made in the World? Global Value Chains in the Midst of Rising Protectionism," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 57(2), pages 195-222, September.
    4. Al-Ubaydli, Omar, 2020. "Understanding How the Coronavirus Affects the Global Economy: A Guide for Non-Economists," MPRA Paper 99642, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Cecilia Bellora & Lionel Fontagné, 2019. "Shooting Oneself in the Foot? Trade War and Global Value Chains," Working Papers 2019-18, CEPII research center.
    6. Bown, Chad P. & Erbahar, Aksel & Zanardi, Maurizio, 2020. "Global Value Chains and the Removal of Trade Protection," CEPR Discussion Papers 14451, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Stefano Schiavo & Chiara Tomasi & Min Zhu, 0. "Anti-dumping activities against China: patterns and effects," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 0, pages 1-24.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    antidumping; safeguards; temporary trade barriers; tariffs; WTO; supply chains; intermediate inputs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations

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