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China's Agricultural Import Potential

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Abstract

As part of the current trade negotiations between the United States and China, China has suggested that it may lower trade barriers and increase agricultural imports from the United States. In this policy brief, we provide an overview of China's tariff and non-tariff trade barriers and estimate China's import potential if these barriers are removed. We find that China's importation of major U.S. commodities has the potential to increase significantly. For example, in our medium-growth scenario, China will potentially increase U.S. pork import value by $8.9 billion if all trade barriers are removed.

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  • Minghao Li & Wendong Zhang & Dermot J. Hayes, 2018. "China's Agricultural Import Potential," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 18-pb23, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    • Handle: RePEc:ias:cpaper:18-pb23
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Li, Minghao & Zhang, Wendong & Hart, Chad, 2018. "What Have We Learned from China’s Past Trade Retaliation Strategies?," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(2), April.
    2. Taheripour, Farzad & Tyner, Wallace E., 2018. "Impacts of Possible Chinese 25% Tariff on U.S. Soybeans and Other Agricultural Commodities," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(2), June.
    3. Zheng, Yuqing & Wood, Dallas & Wang, H. Holly & Jones, Jason P.H., 2018. "Predicting Potential Impacts of China’s Retaliatory Tariffs on the U.S. Farm Sector," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(2), June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xi He & Dermot J. Hayes & Wendong Zhang, 2021. "China's Agricultural Imports under the Phase One Deal: Is Success Possible?," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 20-pb29, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.

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