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Spatial, temporal and size distribution of freight train delays: evidence from Sweden




This paper analyzes how freight train delays are distributed with respect to size, location and time of their occurrence. Arrival delays are analyzed in detail using data covering all freight train departures and arrivals during 2008 and 2009 in Sweden. Moreover, the link between capacity usage and expected delay is analyzed using the fact that demand fluctuates on different time scales, especially due to the economic chock in 2009. Since the distribution of delays on different scales describe reliability and vulnerability in the rail transport system, the results have potentially important policy implications for rail investment appraisal.

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  • Krüger, Niclas A. & Vierth , Inge & Fakhraei Roudsari, Farzad, 2013. "Spatial, temporal and size distribution of freight train delays: evidence from Sweden," Working papers in Transport Economics 2013:8, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:ctswps:2013_008

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Andrea D’Ariano & Marco Pranzo, 2009. "An Advanced Real-Time Train Dispatching System for Minimizing the Propagation of Delays in a Dispatching Area Under Severe Disturbances," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 63-84, March.
    2. Carey, Malachy & Kwiecinski, Andrzej, 1994. "Stochastic approximation to the effects of headways on knock-on delays of trains," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 251-267, August.
    3. Yuan, Jianxin & Hansen, Ingo A., 2007. "Optimizing capacity utilization of stations by estimating knock-on train delays," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 202-217, February.
    4. Mu, Shi & Dessouky, Maged, 2011. "Scheduling freight trains traveling on complex networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 1103-1123, August.
    5. Burdett, R.L. & Kozan, E., 2006. "Techniques for absolute capacity determination in railways," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 40(8), pages 616-632, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Krüger, Niclas A. & Vierth, Inge, 2014. "Precautionary and operative costs of freight train delays: a case study of a Swedish grocery company," Working papers in Transport Economics 2014:3, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).

    More about this item


    Fat-tails; Freight; Delays; Rail; Reliability; Vulnerability;

    JEL classification:

    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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