IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hhs/ctswps/2013_008.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Spatial, temporal and size distribution of freight train delays: evidence from Sweden

Author

Listed:

Abstract

This paper analyzes how freight train delays are distributed with respect to size, location and time of their occurrence. Arrival delays are analyzed in detail using data covering all freight train departures and arrivals during 2008 and 2009 in Sweden. Moreover, the link between capacity usage and expected delay is analyzed using the fact that demand fluctuates on different time scales, especially due to the economic chock in 2009. Since the distribution of delays on different scales describe reliability and vulnerability in the rail transport system, the results have potentially important policy implications for rail investment appraisal.

Suggested Citation

  • Krüger, Niclas A. & Vierth , Inge & Fakhraei Roudsari, Farzad, 2013. "Spatial, temporal and size distribution of freight train delays: evidence from Sweden," Working papers in Transport Economics 2013:8, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:ctswps:2013_008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.transportportal.se/swopec/CTS2013-8.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. A. Higgins & E. Kozan, 1998. "Modeling Train Delays in Urban Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 32(4), pages 346-357, November.
    2. M Carey & S Carville, 2000. "Testing schedule performance and reliability for train stations," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 51(6), pages 666-682, June.
    3. Andrea D'Ariano & Francesco Corman & Dario Pacciarelli & Marco Pranzo, 2008. "Reordering and Local Rerouting Strategies to Manage Train Traffic in Real Time," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(4), pages 405-419, November.
    4. Ove Frank, 1966. "Two-Way Traffic on a Single Line of Railway," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 14(5), pages 801-811, October.
    5. Mu, Shi & Dessouky, Maged, 2011. "Scheduling freight trains traveling on complex networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 1103-1123, August.
    6. Murali, Pavankumar & Dessouky, Maged & Ordóñez, Fernando & Palmer, Kurt, 2010. "A delay estimation technique for single and double-track railroads," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 483-495, July.
    7. Andrea D’Ariano & Marco Pranzo, 2009. "An Advanced Real-Time Train Dispatching System for Minimizing the Propagation of Delays in a Dispatching Area Under Severe Disturbances," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 63-84, March.
    8. E. R. Petersen, 1974. "Over-the-Road Transit Time for a Single Track Railway," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 8(1), pages 65-74, February.
    9. Carey, Malachy & Kwiecinski, Andrzej, 1994. "Stochastic approximation to the effects of headways on knock-on delays of trains," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 251-267, August.
    10. Yuan, Jianxin & Hansen, Ingo A., 2007. "Optimizing capacity utilization of stations by estimating knock-on train delays," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 202-217, February.
    11. Harker, Patrick T. & Hong, Sungwook, 1990. "Two Moments Estimation of the Delay on a Partially Double-Track Rail Line with Scheduled Traffic," Journal of the Transportation Research Forum, Transportation Research Forum, vol. 31(1).
    12. Bintong Chen & Patrick T. Harker, 1990. "Two Moments Estimation of the Delay on Single-Track Rail Lines with Scheduled Traffic," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 24(4), pages 261-275, November.
    13. Burdett, R.L. & Kozan, E., 2006. "Techniques for absolute capacity determination in railways," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 40(8), pages 616-632, September.
    14. F.R. Bruinsma & P. Rietveld & D.J. van Vuuren, 1999. "Unreliability in Public Transport Chains," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-130/3, Tinbergen Institute.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Krüger, Niclas A. & Vierth, Inge, 2014. "Precautionary and operative costs of freight train delays: a case study of a Swedish grocery company," Working papers in Transport Economics 2014:3, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Leachman, Robert C. & Jula, Payman, 2012. "Estimating flow times for containerized imports from Asia to the United States through the Western rail network," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 296-309.
    2. Mu, Shi & Dessouky, Maged, 2013. "Efficient dispatching rules on double tracks with heterogeneous train traffic," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 45-64.
    3. Li, Feng & Gao, Ziyou & Wang, David Z.W. & Liu, Ronghui & Tang, Tao & Wu, Jianjun & Yang, Lixing, 2017. "A subjective capacity evaluation model for single-track railway system with δ-balanced traffic and λ-tolerance level," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 43-66.
    4. Huang, Ping & Wen, Chao & Fu, Liping & Lessan, Javad & Jiang, Chaozhe & Peng, Qiyuan & Xu, Xinyue, 2020. "Modeling train operation as sequences: A study of delay prediction with operation and weather data," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    5. Meng, Lingyun & Zhou, Xuesong, 2011. "Robust single-track train dispatching model under a dynamic and stochastic environment: A scenario-based rolling horizon solution approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 1080-1102, August.
    6. Thomas Spanninger & Beda Büchel & Francesco Corman, 2023. "Train Delay Predictions Using Markov Chains Based on Process Time Deviations and Elastic State Boundaries," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-23, February.
    7. Masoud Yaghini & Mohammadreza Sarmadi & Nariman Nikoo & Mohsen Momeni, 2014. "Capacity Consumption Analysis Using Heuristic Solution Method for Under Construction Railway Routes," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 317-333, December.
    8. Bernal, Margarita & Welch, Eric W. & Sriraj, P.S., 2016. "The effect of slow zones on ridership: An analysis of the Chicago Transit Authority “El” Blue Line," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 11-21.
    9. Zhang, Yongxiang & D'Ariano, Andrea & He, Bisheng & Peng, Qiyuan, 2019. "Microscopic optimization model and algorithm for integrating train timetabling and track maintenance task scheduling," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 237-278.
    10. Bettinelli, Andrea & Santini, Alberto & Vigo, Daniele, 2017. "A real-time conflict solution algorithm for the train rescheduling problem," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 237-265.
    11. Mussone, Lorenzo & Wolfler Calvo, Roberto, 2013. "An analytical approach to calculate the capacity of a railway system," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 228(1), pages 11-23.
    12. Gert Janssenswillen & Benoît Depaire & Sabine Verboven, 2018. "Detecting train reroutings with process mining," EURO Journal on Transportation and Logistics, Springer;EURO - The Association of European Operational Research Societies, vol. 7(1), pages 1-24, March.
    13. Krier, Betty & Liu, Chia-Mei & McNamara, Brian & Sharpe, Jerrod, 2014. "Individual freight effects, capacity utilization, and Amtrak service quality," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 163-175.
    14. Harshad Khadilkar, 2017. "Data-Enabled Stochastic Modeling for Evaluating Schedule Robustness of Railway Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(4), pages 1161-1176, November.
    15. Pellegrini, Paola & Marlière, Grégory & Rodriguez, Joaquin, 2014. "Optimal train routing and scheduling for managing traffic perturbations in complex junctions," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 58-80.
    16. Sato, Keisuke & Fukumura, Naoto, 2012. "Real-time freight locomotive rescheduling and uncovered train detection during disruption," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(3), pages 636-648.
    17. Huang, Ping & Guo, Jingwei & Liu, Shu & Corman, Francesco, 2024. "Explainable train delay propagation: A graph attention network approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    18. Flurin S. Hänseler & Nicholas A. Molyneaux & Michel Bierlaire, 2017. "Estimation of Pedestrian Origin-Destination Demand in Train Stations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(3), pages 981-997, August.
    19. Taslimi, Bijan & Babaie Sarijaloo, Farnaz & Liu, Hongcheng & Pardalos, Panos M., 2022. "A novel mixed integer programming model for freight train travel time estimation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 300(2), pages 676-688.
    20. Shi Qiang Liu & Erhan Kozan, 2011. "Scheduling Trains with Priorities: A No-Wait Blocking Parallel-Machine Job-Shop Scheduling Model," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(2), pages 175-198, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fat-tails; Freight; Delays; Rail; Reliability; Vulnerability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hhs:ctswps:2013_008. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CTS (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.cts.kth.se/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.