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A delay estimation technique for single and double-track railroads


  • Murali, Pavankumar
  • Dessouky, Maged
  • Ordóñez, Fernando
  • Palmer, Kurt


To route and schedule trains over a large complex network can be computationally intensive. One way to reduce complexity could be to "aggregate" suitable sections of a network. In this paper, we present a simulation-based technique to generate delay estimates over track segments as a function of traffic conditions, as well as network topology. We test our technique by comparing the delay estimates obtained for a network in Los Angeles with the delays obtained from the simulation model developed by Lu et al. [Lu, Q., Dessouky, M.M., Leachman, R.C., 2004. Modeling of train movements through complex networks. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation 14, 48-75], which has been shown to be representative of the real-world delay values. Railway dispatchers could route and schedule freight trains over large networks by using our technique to estimate delay across aggregated network sections.

Suggested Citation

  • Murali, Pavankumar & Dessouky, Maged & Ordóñez, Fernando & Palmer, Kurt, 2010. "A delay estimation technique for single and double-track railroads," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 483-495, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:46:y:2010:i:4:p:483-495

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    Cited by:

    1. Leachman, Robert C. & Jula, Payman, 2012. "Estimating flow times for containerized imports from Asia to the United States through the Western rail network," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 296-309.
    2. Krier, Betty & Liu, Chia-Mei & McNamara, Brian & Sharpe, Jerrod, 2014. "Individual freight effects, capacity utilization, and Amtrak service quality," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 163-175.


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