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Contagion and State Dependent Mutations

Author

Listed:
  • Adam Szeidl

    (Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley)

  • In Ho Lee

    (School of Economics, Seoul National University)

  • Akos Valentinyi

    (University of Southampton)

Abstract

Early results of evolutionary game theory showed that the risk dominant equilibrium is uniquely selected in the long run under the best-response dynamics with mutation. Bergin and Lipman (1996) qualified this result by showing that for a given population size the evolutionary process can select any strict Nash equilibrium if the probability of choosing a nonbest response is state-dependent. This paper shows that the unique selection of the risk dominant equilibrium is robust with respect to state dependent mutation in local interaction games. More precisely, for a given mutation structure there exists a minimum population size beyond which the risk dominant equilibrium is uniquely selected. Our result is driven by contagion and cohesion among players, which exist only in local interaction settings and favor the risk dominant strategy. Our result strengthens the equilibrium selection result of evolutionary game theory.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Szeidl & In Ho Lee & Akos Valentinyi, 2001. "Contagion and State Dependent Mutations," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 0104, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:has:discpr:0104
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    File URL: http://econ.core.hu/doc/dp/dp/mtdp0104.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Blume Lawrence E., 1995. "The Statistical Mechanics of Best-Response Strategy Revision," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 111-145, November.
    2. Glenn Ellison, 2000. "Basins of Attraction, Long-Run Stochastic Stability, and the Speed of Step-by-Step Evolution," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 67(1), pages 17-45.
    3. Ellison, Glenn, 1993. "Learning, Local Interaction, and Coordination," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(5), pages 1047-1071, September.
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    5. Young, H Peyton, 1993. "The Evolution of Conventions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(1), pages 57-84, January.
    6. Kandori, Michihiro & Mailath, George J & Rob, Rafael, 1993. "Learning, Mutation, and Long Run Equilibria in Games," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(1), pages 29-56, January.
    7. Bergin, James & Lipman, Barton L, 1996. "Evolution with State-Dependent Mutations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 943-956, July.
    8. Anderlini, Luca & Ianni, Antonella, 1996. "Path Dependence and Learning from Neighbors," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 141-177, April.
    9. In Ho Lee & Akos Valentinyi, 2000. "Noisy Contagion Without Mutation," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 67(1), pages 47-56.
    10. Stephen Morris, 2000. "Contagion," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 67(1), pages 57-78.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jiang, Ge & Weidenholzer, Simon, 2014. "Local Interactions and Switching Costs," Economics Discussion Papers 9015, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
    2. Ge Jiang & Simon Weidenholzer, 2017. "Local interactions under switching costs," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(3), pages 571-588, October.
    3. repec:esx:essedp:746 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Azomahou, T. & Opolot, D., 2014. "Epsilon-stability and the speed of learning in network games," MERIT Working Papers 036, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    5. Weidenholzer, Simon, 2012. "Long-run equilibria, dominated strategies, and local interactions," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 1014-1024.
    6. Peski, Marcin, 2010. "Generalized risk-dominance and asymmetric dynamics," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 216-248, January.
    7. Azomahou, T. & Opolot, D., 2014. "Stability and strategic diffusion in networks," MERIT Working Papers 2014-035, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    8. Ennio Bilancini & Leonardo Boncinelli, 2020. "The evolution of conventions under condition-dependent mistakes," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 69(2), pages 497-521, March.
    9. Simon Weidenholzer, 2010. "Coordination Games and Local Interactions: A Survey of the Game Theoretic Literature," Games, MDPI, vol. 1(4), pages 1-35, November.
    10. Daniel C. Opolot & Théophile T. Azomahou, 2021. "Strategic diffusion in networks through contagion," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 995-1027, July.
    11. Thomas Norman, "undated". "Step-by-Step Evolution with State-Dependent Mutations," Economics Papers 2003-W08, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    12. Jiang, Ge & Weidenholzer, Simon, 2016. "Local Interactions under Switching Costs," Economics Discussion Papers 17770, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
    13. Weidenholzer, Simon, 2012. "Long-run equilibria, dominated strategies, and local interactions," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 1014-1024.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    contagion; state dependent mutations; risk dominance; local interaction games;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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