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Do Power Consumption Data Tell the Story? - Electricity Intensity and Hidden Economy in Post-Socialist Countries

  • Maria Lacko

    ()

    (Institute of Economics, Hungarian Academy of Sciences)

The paper disputes the frequently presented and quoted statement that in post-socialist economies data on power consumption are better indicators for aggregate output changes than data on official GDP. Attempt is made to show that the variation of electricity intensities in post-socialist countries does not necessarily reflect the growth of the hidden parts of the economy. Statistical and econometric analysis of data for 18 post-socialist economies show that in this region, the differences in measured and registered structural changes are more important factors explaining the differences in the changes of electricity intensity than the changing size of the unofficial economy.

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File URL: http://www.econ.core.hu/doc/bwp/bwp/bwp992.pdf
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Paper provided by Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, Hungarian Academy of Sciences in its series Budapest Working Papers on the Labour Market with number 9902.

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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: Mar 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:has:bworkp:9902
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  1. Kornai, Janos, 1992. "The Socialist System: The Political Economy of Communism," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198287766, March.
  2. Kornai, J. & Ely, R.T., 1992. "The Postsocialist Transition and the State: Reflections in the Light of Hungarian Fiscal Problems," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1583, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
  3. Kornai, Janos, 1993. "The Evolution of Financial Discipline under the Postsocialist System," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(3), pages 315-36.
  4. Janos Kornai, 1995. "Eliminating the shortage economy: a general anaysis and examination of the developments in Hungary," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 3(1), pages 13-37, 03.
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