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Taille des classes et inégalités territoriales : quelle stratégie face à la baisse démographique ?

Author

Listed:
  • Pauline Charousset

    (IPP - Institut des politiques publiques)

  • Julien Grenet

    (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris, PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris, IPP - Institut des politiques publiques)

  • Nina Guyon

    (ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris, IPP - Institut des politiques publiques)

  • Youssef Souidi

    (IPP - Institut des politiques publiques)

Abstract

La baisse quasi continue de la natalité en France depuis 2010 entraîne une diminution marquée des effectifs d'élèves dans le premier degré, qui se prolongera pendant au moins une décennie. Dans un contexte de contraintes sur les finances publiques, cette évolution pose la question d'un ajustement de la dépense éducative : faut-il réduire le nombre d'enseignants pour réaliser des économies budgétaires, ou saisir cette opportunité pour améliorer les conditions d'apprentissage en réduisant la taille des classes ? Ce chapitre explore les enjeux de ce choix à partir de données détaillées et de simulations prospectives. L'étude met en lumière les arbitrages économiques associés à différents scénarios de gestion des effectifs enseignants, et souligne les risques d'accentuation des disparités territoriales en matière de taille des classes si la répartition des enseignants ne fait pas l'objet d'une planification coordonnée.

Suggested Citation

  • Pauline Charousset & Julien Grenet & Nina Guyon & Youssef Souidi, 2025. "Taille des classes et inégalités territoriales : quelle stratégie face à la baisse démographique ?," Post-Print hal-05458936, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05458936
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05458936v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter Fredriksson & Björn Öckert & Hessel Oosterbeek, 2013. "Long-Term Effects of Class Size," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 128(1), pages 249-285.
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    6. Nathaniel Hendren & Ben Sprung-Keyser, 2020. "A Unified Welfare Analysis of Government Policies," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(3), pages 1209-1318.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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