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Growth-Employment Relationship and Leijonhufvud's Corridor

Author

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  • Jean-Marie Le Page

    (UP2 - Université Panthéon-Assas)

Abstract

Since 2008, the euro area unemployment rate has increased constantly, while this economy's GDP was the same at the end of 2012 as it was in 2008. The recent trend of aggregate economic activity in this area illustrates the risk that an economy leaves its stability corridor, in which it usually progresses in a cyclical way, to enter an area of turbulence. In this area, the automatic stabilizers have weak feedback forces. To examine this kind of situation in a theoretical framework, this paper presents a model that relies both on Leijonhufvud's corridor and on Harrod's instability principle. This model allows a threshold to be defined beyond which the economy runs the risk of entering a cumulative process of simultaneous declines in growth and employment. However, the existence of such a process requires unemployment to have a sufficiently direct effect on the growth in aggregate demand, as seems to be the case nowadays.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Marie Le Page, 2014. "Growth-Employment Relationship and Leijonhufvud's Corridor," Post-Print hal-04061335, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04061335
    DOI: 10.3917/rel.802.0111
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04061335
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kevin D. Hoover, 2012. "Was Harrod Right?," Center for the History of Political Economy Working Paper Series 2012-01, Center for the History of Political Economy.
    2. Joan Robinson, 1962. "Essays in the Theory of Economic Growth," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-349-00626-7, October.
    3. Ben Zipperer & Peter Skott, 2011. "Cyclical patterns of employment, utilization, and profitability," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 25-58.
    4. Bean, Charles & Pissarides, Christopher, 1993. "Unemployment, consumption and growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 837-854, May.
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    2. Jean-Marie Le Page, 2022. "Structural rate of unemployment, hysteresis, human capital, and macroeconomic data," Post-Print hal-04016193, HAL.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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