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Impact de l'accroissement du prix des produits pétroliers sur la distribution des revenus au Mali

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  • Kangni Kpodar

    (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UdA - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Cet article étudie les effets d'une augmentation des prix des produits pétroliers sur la distribution des revenus au Mali en utilisant une analyse micro-macro basée sur la combinaison de données d'enquête-ménages et d'une matrice input-output. Les résultats montrent que, parmi les produits pétroliers consommés par les ménages, l'accroissement du prix du pétrole lampant affecte négativement le revenu des ménages pauvres plus que l'accroissement du prix de l'essence et du gasoil. Globalement, l'impact de la hausse du prix des produits pétroliers suit une relation en U inversé avec le niveau de dépense par tête, les ménages des classes moyennes étant moins affectés que les ménages pauvres et les ménages riches. Par ailleurs, quel que soit le produit pétrolier considéré, les prix subventionnés à la pompe bénéficient plus aux ménages à haut revenu qu'aux ménages à faible revenu. Ceci suggère que les subventions implicites ou explicites aux prix domestiques des produits pétroliers sont des mécanismes peu efficaces, comparés à des subventions ciblées, pour protéger les ménages pauvres. Une réforme du système de fixation des prix domestiques est par conséquent souhaitable afin de réorienter l'affectation des ressources budgétaires aux objectifs de réduction de la pauvreté.

Suggested Citation

  • Kangni Kpodar, 2011. "Impact de l'accroissement du prix des produits pétroliers sur la distribution des revenus au Mali," CERDI Working papers halshs-00557133, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:cdiwps:halshs-00557133
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00557133
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    References listed on IDEAS

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