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Persistence in Convergence: Some further results

Author

Listed:
  • Thanasis Stengos

    () (Department of Economics and Finance, University of Guelph)

  • Ege Yazgan

    () (Istanbul Bilgi University)

  • Harun Ozkan

    () (Istanbul Bilgi University)

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the convergence hypothesis using a long memory framework that allows for structural breaks and does not rely on a benchmark country using both univariate and multivariate estimates of the long memory parameter d. Using per capita GDP gaps, we confirm the findings of non-stationarity and long memory behavior that have been found previously in the literature using univariate tests. However, the support for these findings is much weaker when using a multivariate framework, in which case we find more evidence of stationary behavior. Based on these results, we also investigate club formation, something that would suggest the presence of conditional convergence. We describe a club formation methodology using the sequential testing criteria that we have employed in our analysis as the basis for forming clusters or clubs of countries with similar convergence characteristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Thanasis Stengos & Ege Yazgan & Harun Ozkan, 2016. "Persistence in Convergence: Some further results," Working Papers 1605, University of Guelph, Department of Economics and Finance.
  • Handle: RePEc:gue:guelph:2016-05
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    File URL: http://www.uoguelph.ca/economics/repec/workingpapers/2016/2016-05.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    3. Hashem Pesaran, M., 2007. "A pair-wise approach to testing for output and growth convergence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 312-355, May.
    4. Robert C. Feenstra & Robert Inklaar & Marcel P. Timmer, 2015. "The Next Generation of the Penn World Table," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(10), pages 3150-3182, October.
    5. Stengos, Thanasis & Yazgan, M. Ege, 2014. "Persistence In Convergence," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(4), pages 753-782, June.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    growth convergence; convergence clubs; long memory;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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