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Lessons from the Portuguese Political-Economic Transition to the Euro (1986-1999)

Listed author(s):
  • Miguel Rocha de Sousa

    ()

    (Department of Economics, University of Évora; NICPRI-UE)

We show the Portuguese transition to the euro, in the framework of political economics, by constructing a bivariate confidence index, based upon Rocha de Sousa (1998, 1999a,b, 2001). Besides we try to understand if the euro functioned as an instrument of politico-economic integration. The article has the following structure: section 1 shows the process of monetary European construction, section two illustrates the need for budget consolidation before the euro, section three illustrates the notion of monetary credibility and the construction of a bivariate politico-economic index, section four illustrates the role of ECB and of the SECB, section 5 assesses the study of euro impact on Portugal and, section 6 evaluates EMU after 10 years based upon EC (2008) and, finnally, section 7 concludes.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10174/8459
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Paper provided by University of Évora, Department of Economics (Portugal) in its series Economics Working Papers with number 11_2009.

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Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: 2009
Handle: RePEc:evo:wpecon:11_2009
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Largo dos Colegiais 2, 7000 - 803ÉVORA

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Fax: + 351 266 74 24 94
Web page: http://www.decon.uevora.pt
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  1. Maria Demertzis & Andrew Hughes Hallett, 2004. "Central bank transparency in theory and practice," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 23, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
  2. Buiter,Willem H. & Corsetti,Giancarlo & Pesenti,Paolo A., 1998. "Financial Markets and European Monetary Cooperation," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521495479, December.
  3. Cukierman Alex, 1992. "Central Bank Strategy, Credibility, And Independance: Theory And Evidence," Journal des Economistes et des Etudes Humaines, De Gruyter, vol. 3(4), pages 1-10, December.
  4. Herrendorf, Berthold, 1999. "Transparency, reputation, and credibility under floating and pegged exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 31-50, October.
  5. Gaspar, Vitor & Pereira, Alfredo M., 1995. "The impact of financial integration and unilateral public transfers on investment and growth in EC capital-importing countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 43-66, October.
  6. Martin Feldstein, 1998. "The Political Economy of the European Economic and Monetary Union: Political Sources of an Economic Liability," NBER Working Papers 6150, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Brunetti, Aymo & Kisunko, Gregory & Weder, Beatrice, 1998. "Credibility of Rules and Economic Growth: Evidence from a Worldwide Survey of the Private Sector," World Bank Economic Review, World Bank Group, vol. 12(3), pages 353-384, September.
  8. Issing,Otmar & Gaspar,Vitor & Angeloni,Ignazio & Tristani,Oreste, 2001. "Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521783248, December.
  9. Alan S. Blinder, 1999. "Central Bank Credibility: Why Do We Care? How Do We Build It?," NBER Working Papers 7161, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  10. Olivier Blanchard, 2007. "Adjustment within the euro. The difficult case of Portugal," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 6(1), pages 1-21, April.
  11. Herrendorf, Berthold & Neumann, Manfred J.M., 1998. "The Political Economy of Inflation, Labour Market Distortions and Central Bank Independence," CEPR Discussion Papers 1969, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  12. Alberto Alesina & Nouriel Roubini & Gerald D. Cohen, 1997. "Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262510944, September.
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