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Fiscal Response to Fluctuating Oil Revenues in Oil Exporting Countries of the Middle East

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  • Nader Habibi

    (Brandeis University)

Abstract

Using panel data for five Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries, I have investigated the impact of fluctuations in these countries? oil revenues on their budgetary decisions. My focus is on how revenue fluctuations are correlated with changes in the relative shares of various expenditure categories. The estimations revealed that the budget shares of Defense and Economic Affairs and Services were positively correlated to oil export revenues. Social expenditures, on the other hand, showed a negative correlation. These statistical results could imply that since social expenditures are politically more important, they are shielded against fluctuations in oil revenues. The burden of budget cuts fall more on capital expenditures and defense.

Suggested Citation

  • Nader Habibi, 2001. "Fiscal Response to Fluctuating Oil Revenues in Oil Exporting Countries of the Middle East," Working Papers 0136, Economic Research Forum, revised 11 2001.
    • Handle: RePEc:erg:wpaper:0136
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jakob Haan & Jan Sturm & Bernd Sikken, 1996. "Government capital formation: Explaining the decline," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 132(1), pages 55-74, March.
    2. Sahn, David & Bernier, Rene, 1995. "Have structural adjustments led to health sector reform in Africa?," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(1-3), pages 193-214.
    3. Habibi, Nader, 1994. "Budgetary policy and political liberty: A cross-sectional analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 579-586, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Safoura Moeeni, 2022. "The Intergenerational Effects of Economic Sanctions," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 36(2), pages 269-304.
    2. Sunday Osahon Igbinedion, 2019. "Oil Price Volatility And Infrastructural Growth: Evidence From An Oil- Dependent Economy," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 4(1), pages 17-28, March.
    3. Davood Danesh Jafari & Hamid Nazemian & Javid Bahrami & Mohammad Hassan Kheiravar, 2020. "Effect of Oil Revenues on Government Size in Selected Oil-exporters with an Emphasis on Iran s Economy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 485-497.
    4. Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, 2014. "Military Spending and Economic Growth: The Case of Iran," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 247-269, June.

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