IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ekd/009007/9076.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Alternative Growth Industries In Gabon: An Input-Output Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Reyno Seymore
  • Martin Combrinck

Abstract

The objective of the study is to determine the necessary growth magnitudes in exogenous final demand for the alternative growth industries identified by the Gabonese government, which would directly offset the GDP decline resulting from the decrease in the production of oil. Input-output analysis has been identified as the appropriate methodology, especially due to data restrictions, since it can be used to evaluate the direct and indirect effects on the economy of various simulations. In the process of answering the study objective, a symmetric input-output table is developed which, at the time of writing, did not exist for Gabon. All the alternative growth industries were simulated separately to directly offset the decline in the oil production, and the required growth magnitudes in these industries were calculated. In addition, a fifth scenario identified that an 8.16% increase in the exogenous final demand of all the alternative growth industries, is sufficient to directly offset the effect that the 2.80% decline in production of the “Production of “raw” petrol and natural gas and petroleum services” industry (B03), has on GDP. In addition, the indirect impact on total production will be positive.

Suggested Citation

  • Reyno Seymore & Martin Combrinck, 2016. "Alternative Growth Industries In Gabon: An Input-Output Analysis," EcoMod2016 9076, EcoMod.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekd:009007:9076
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ecomod.net/system/files/Seymore.Alternative%20growth%20industries%20in%20Gabon.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Louis Mesnard, 2011. "Negatives in symmetric input–output tables: the impossible quest for the Holy Grail," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 46(2), pages 427-454, April.
    2. Kerschner, Christian & Hubacek, Klaus, 2009. "Assessing the suitability of input–output analysis for enhancing our understanding of potential economic effects of Peak Oil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 284-290.
    3. Elder, Eric E. & Butcher, Walter R., 1989. "Including The Economic Impact Of Cost Paying In Regional Input-Output Analysis," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 14(1), pages 1-7, July.
    4. Xu, Tang & Baosheng, Zhang & Lianyong, Feng & Masri, Marwan & Honarvar, Afshin, 2011. "Economic impacts and challenges of China’s petroleum industry: An input–output analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 2905-2911.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gabon; Developing countries; Energy and environmental policy;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ekd:009007:9076. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Theresa Leary). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/ecomoea.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.