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Globalization and Poverty Changes in Colombia

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  • BUSSOLO Maurizio
  • LAY Jann

Abstract

Assessing the final impact of globalisation on poverty is a difficult task: i) globalisation affects poverty through numerous channels; ii) some linkages are positive and some are negative and therefore cannot be analysed qualitatively but require quantitative assessments, i.e. formal numerical models; and iii) trade expansion and growth (key aspects of globalisation) are essentially macro phenomena, whereas poverty is fundamentally a micro phenomenon. In this paper we use a new method that combines a micro-simulation model and a standard CGE model. These two models are used in a sequential fashion (as in a recent paper by Robilliard et al., 2002). The CGE model and the micro-simulation model are calibrated using a recent SAM and household survey for Colombia and together they capture the structural features of the economy and its detailed income generation mechanisms. We use this framework to analyse the important income distribution and poverty changes occurred with the great ... L’évaluation de l’impact ultime de la mondialisation sur la pauvreté est loin d’être aisée: i) la mondialisation affecte la pauvreté de diverses manières; ii) certaines relations sont positives mais d’autres sont négatives, ce qui exclut une analyse qualitative et oblige à des évaluations quantitatives — donc à faire appel à des modèles numériques formels; iii) le développement des échanges et la croissance (les caractéristiques clés de la mondialisation) sont surtout des phénomènes macro, alors que la pauvreté est par essence un phénomène micro. Les auteurs de ce document adoptent une nouvelle méthode, qui associe un modèle de micro-simulation à un modèle EGC classique. Les deux sont utilisés de manière séquentielle (à l’instar de l’étude récente de Robilliard et al., 2002). Le modèle EGC et le modèle de micro-simulation sont calibrés à l’aide d’une MCS récente et d’une enquête auprès des ménages colombiens ; ensemble, ils restituent les caractéristiques structurelles de ...
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  • BUSSOLO Maurizio & LAY Jann, "undated". "Globalization and Poverty Changes in Colombia," EcoMod2003 330700029, EcoMod.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekd:003307:330700029
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vélez, Carlos Eduardo & Leibovich, Jose & Kugler, Adriana & Bouillón, Cesar & Núñez, Jairo, 2001. "The Reversal of Inequality Trends in Colombia, 1978-1995: A Combination of Persistent and Fluctuating Forces," MPRA Paper 69701, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Maurizio Bussolo & David Roland-Holst & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, 1998. "The technical specification of FEDESARROLLO´s: Long Run General Equilibrium Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES. DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO 009207, FEDESARROLLO.
    3. Koujianou Goldberg, Pinelopi & Pavcnik, Nina, 2003. "The response of the informal sector to trade liberalization," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 463-496, December.
    4. Adriana Kugler, 1999. "The Impact of Firing Costs on Turnover and Unemployment: Evidence from the Colombian Labour Market Reform," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 6(3), pages 389-410, August.
    5. Srinivasan, T.N. & Bhagwati, J., 1999. "Outward-Orientation and Development: Are Revisionist Right?," Papers 806, Yale - Economic Growth Center.
    6. Maurizio Bussolo & David Roland-Holst, 1998. "Colombia and the NAFTA," WORKING PAPERS SERIES. DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO 009209, FEDESARROLLO.
    7. Maurizio Bussolo & Jeffery I. Round, 2003. "Poverty Reduction Strategies in a Budget-Constrained Economy: The Case of Ghana," OECD Development Centre Working Papers 220, OECD Publishing.
    8. Tovar, Camilo Ernesto & Ocampo, José Antonio & Sánchez Torres, Fabio, 2000. "Mercado laboral y distribución del ingreso en Colombia en los años noventa," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    9. Maurizio Bussolo & Ricardo Correa, 1998. "A 1994 detailed Social Accounting Matrix for Colombia," WORKING PAPERS SERIES. DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO 009201, FEDESARROLLO.
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