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Modeling Labor Market Behavior of the Population of a Large Industrial City: Duration of Registered Unemployment

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  • Nivorozhkin Evgeny
  • Nivorozhkina Ludmila
  • Shukhmin Andrey

Abstract

This paper analyzes factors affecting the duration of registered unemployment and the intensity of the individuals' transition from unemployment to alternative states. The results will help evaluate the process of the population's adaptation to the government's system of employment assistance in Russia and the effects of this system on the duration of job searchers and the relative chances of employment for various socio-demographic groups of population. We also explore the effect of the legislation governing the timing of obtaining the status of unemployed on the selection of individuals seeking assistance at Public Employment Offices. The empirical modeling is done by using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and a competing risk model based on the Cox proportional hazard model.

Suggested Citation

  • Nivorozhkin Evgeny & Nivorozhkina Ludmila & Shukhmin Andrey, 2002. "Modeling Labor Market Behavior of the Population of a Large Industrial City: Duration of Registered Unemployment," EERC Working Paper Series 01-08e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    • Handle: RePEc:eer:wpalle:01-08e
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lubyova, M. & van Ours, J.C., 1998. "Unemployment Durations of Job Losers in a Labor Market in Transition," Other publications TiSEM c70f1e1c-ba44-48a7-af40-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. Mark C. Foley, 1997. "Determinants of Unemployment Duration in Russia," Working Papers 779, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
    3. Kiefer, Nicholas M, 1988. "Economic Duration Data and Hazard Functions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 26(2), pages 646-679, June.
    4. Lubyova, Martina & van Ours, Jan, 1997. "Unemployment dynamics and the restructuring of the Slovak unemployment benefit system," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-5), pages 925-934, April.
    5. Gyula Nagy & John Micklewright, 1998. "Unemployment assistance in Hungary," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(1/2), pages 155-175.
    6. Mark C. Foley, 1997. "Determinants of Unemployment Duration in Russia," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 81, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    7. John Micklewright & Gyula Nagy, 1999. "The Informational Value of Job Search Data and the Dynamics of Search Behaviour: Evidence from Hungary," Budapest Working Papers on the Labour Market 9901, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    8. Martina Lubyova & Jan C. Van Ours, 1999. "Unemployment durations of job losers in a labour market in transition," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 7(3), pages 665-686, November.
    9. Foley, Mark C., 1997. "Determinants of Unemployment Duration in Russia," Center Discussion Papers 28427, Yale University, Economic Growth Center.
    10. Earle, John S. & Pauna, Catalin, 1996. "Incidence and duration of unemployment in Romania," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-5), pages 829-837, April.
    11. Ham, John C & Svejnar, Jan & Terrell, Katherine, 1998. "Unemployment and the Social Safety Net during Transitions to a Market Economy: Evidence from the Czech and Slovak Republics," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(5), pages 1117-1142, December.
    12. Foley, M.C., 1997. "Determinants of Unemployment Duration in Russia," Papers 779, Yale - Economic Growth Center.
    13. Martina Lubyova & Jan van Ours, 1998. "Work incentives and other effects of the transition to social assistance: Evidence from the Slovak Republic," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(1/2), pages 121-153.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russia; unemployment duration; transition; duration model; Cox proportional hazard model; Kaplan – Meier estimator;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J41 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Labor Contracts
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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