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Modeling Labor Market Behavior of the Population of a Large Industrial City: Duration of Registered Unemployment

Author

Listed:
  • Nivorozhkin Evgeny

    ()

  • Nivorozhkina Ludmila

    ()

  • Shukhmin Andrey

Abstract

This paper analyzes factors affecting the duration of registered unemployment and the intensity of the individuals' transition from unemployment to alternative states. The results will help evaluate the process of the population's adaptation to the government's system of employment assistance in Russia and the effects of this system on the duration of job searchers and the relative chances of employment for various socio-demographic groups of population. We also explore the effect of the legislation governing the timing of obtaining the status of unemployed on the selection of individuals seeking assistance at Public Employment Offices. The empirical modeling is done by using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and a competing risk model based on the Cox proportional hazard model.

Suggested Citation

  • Nivorozhkin Evgeny & Nivorozhkina Ludmila & Shukhmin Andrey, 2002. "Modeling Labor Market Behavior of the Population of a Large Industrial City: Duration of Registered Unemployment," EERC Working Paper Series 01-08e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
  • Handle: RePEc:eer:wpalle:01-08e
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kiefer, Nicholas M, 1988. "Economic Duration Data and Hazard Functions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 26(2), pages 646-679, June.
    2. Lubyova, Martina & van Ours, Jan, 1997. "Unemployment dynamics and the restructuring of the Slovak unemployment benefit system," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-5), pages 925-934, April.
    3. Gyula Nagy & John Micklewright, 1998. "Unemployment assistance in Hungary," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(1/2), pages 155-175.
    4. Martina Lubyova & Jan C. van Ours, 1999. "Unemployment durations of job losers in a labour market in transition," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 7(3), pages 665-686, November.
    5. Earle, John S. & Pauna, Catalin, 1996. "Incidence and duration of unemployment in Romania," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-5), pages 829-837, April.
    6. Martina Lubyova & Jan van Ours, 1998. "Work incentives and other effects of the transition to social assistance: Evidence from the Slovak Republic," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(1/2), pages 121-153.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russia; unemployment duration; transition; duration model; Cox proportional hazard model; Kaplan – Meier estimator;

    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J41 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Labor Contracts
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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