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Parallel Lives: Birth, Childhood and Adolescent Influences on Career Paths

Author

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  • Duncan McVicar
  • Michael Anyadike-Danes

Abstract

This paper uses sequence methods and cluster analysis to create a typology of career paths for a cohort of British 29 year olds born in 1970. There are clear ‘types’ identified by these techniques including several paths dominated by various forms of non-employment. These types are strongly correlated with individual characteristics and parental background factors observed at birth, age ten and age sixteen. By estimating a multinomial logit model of career types we show how policy makers might identify early those young people likely to experience long term non-employment as adults, enabling better targeted preventative policy intervention.

Suggested Citation

  • Duncan McVicar & Michael Anyadike-Danes, 2004. "Parallel Lives: Birth, Childhood and Adolescent Influences on Career Paths," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 134, Econometric Society.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecm:ausm04:134
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    File URL: http://repec.org/esAUSM04/up.8281.1077550291.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lawrence L. Wu, 2000. "Some Comments on “Sequence Analysis and Optimal Matching Methods in Sociology: Review and Prospectâ€," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 29(1), pages 41-64, August.
    2. Cramer, J. S. & Ridder, G., 1991. "Pooling states in the multinomial logit model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2-3), pages 267-272, February.
    3. Duncan McVicar & Michael Anyadike-Danes, 2002. "Predicting successful and unsuccessful transitions from school to work by using sequence methods," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 165(2), pages 317-334.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    careers; cluster analysis; optimal matching;

    JEL classification:

    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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