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U.S. Infrastructure: 1929-2023

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  • Ray C. Fair

    (Yale University)

Abstract

This paper examines the history of U.S. infrastructure since 1929 and in the process reports an interesting fact about the U.S. economy. Infrastructure stock as a percent of GDP began a steady decline around 1970, and the government budget deficit became positive and large at roughly the same time. The infrastructure pattern in other countries does not mirror that in the United States, so the United States appears to be a special case. The overall results suggest that the United States became less future oriented beginning around 1970, an increase in the social discount rate. This change has persisted. This is the interesting fact. The paper contains speculation on possible causes.

Suggested Citation

  • Ray C. Fair, 2025. "U.S. Infrastructure: 1929-2023," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2422, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    • Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:2422
    as

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    File URL: https://cowles.yale.edu/sites/default/files/2025-01/d2422.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mehrotra, Neil & Turner, Matthew A. & Uribe, Juan Pablo, 2024. "Does the US have an infrastructure cost problem? Evidence from the interstate highway system," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
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    6. Austan Goolsbee & Chad Syverson, 2022. "The Strange and Awful Path of Productivity in the US Construction Sector," NBER Chapters, in: Technology, Productivity, and Economic Growth, pages 119-138, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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