IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cpr/ceprdp/13604.html

Stress Testing Networks: The Case of Central Counterparties

Author

Listed:
  • Cecchetti, Stephen
  • Berner, Richard
  • Schoenholtz, Kermit L.

Abstract

Stress tests applied to individual institutions are an important tool for evaluating financial resilience. However, financial systems are typically complex, heterogeneous and rapidly changing, raising questions about the adequacy of conventional tests. In this paper, we interpret the current stress test practice from a network perspective, highlighting central counterparties (CCPs) as an example of a critical network hub. Networks that include CCPs involve deep and broad interconnections, making stress testing a challenging task. We propose supplementing both private and supervisory CCP stress tests with a high-frequency indicator constructed from a market-based estimate of the conditional capital shortfall (SRISK) of the CCP’s clearing members. Applying our measure to two large CCPs, we analyze how they can transmit and amplify shocks across borders, conditional on the exhaustion of prefunded resources. Our results highlight how the network created by central clearing can act as an important transmission mechanism for shocks emanating from Europe.

Suggested Citation

  • Cecchetti, Stephen & Berner, Richard & Schoenholtz, Kermit L., 2019. "Stress Testing Networks: The Case of Central Counterparties," CEPR Discussion Papers 13604, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:13604
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://cepr.org/publications/DP13604
    Download Restriction: CEPR Discussion Papers are free to download for our researchers, subscribers and members. If you fall into one of these categories but have trouble downloading our papers, please contact us at subscribers@cepr.org
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or

    for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daron Acemoglu & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2015. "Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(2), pages 564-608, February.
    2. Cabrales, Antonio; Gale, Douglas; Gottardi, Piero, 2015. "Financial Contagion in Networks," Economics Working Papers ECO2015/01, European University Institute.
    3. Natasha Sarin & Lawrence H. Summers, 2016. "Understanding Bank Risk through Market Measures," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 47(2 (Fall)), pages 57-127.
    4. Ron Anderson & Jon Danielsson & Chikako Baba & Mr. Udaibir S Das & Mr. Heedon Kang & Miguel A. Segoviano, 2018. "Macroprudential Stress Tests and Policies: Searching for Robust and Implementable Frameworks," IMF Working Papers 2018/197, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Glasserman, Paul & Young, H. Peyton, 2015. "How likely is contagion in financial networks?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 383-399.
    6. Janet L. Yellen, 2013. "Interconnectedness and Systemic Risk: Lessons from the Financial Crisis and Policy Implications : a speech at the American Economic Association/American Finance Association Joint Luncheon, San Diego, ," Speech 631, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Kenneth E. Scott & Thomas H. Jackson & John B. Taylor (ed.), 2015. "Making Failure Feasible," Books, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, number 9, July.
    8. Paul Glasserman & Peyton Young, 2015. "Contagion in Financial Networks," Economics Series Working Papers 764, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    9. Natasha Sarin & Lawrence H. Summers, 2016. "Understanding Bank Risk through Market Measures," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 47(2 (Fall)), pages 57-127.
    10. Gazi I. Kara & Mary Tian & Margaret Yellen, 2015. "Taxonomy of Studies on Interconnectedness," FEDS Notes 2015-07-31, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Darrell Duffie, 2015. "Resolution of Failing Central Counterparties," Book Chapters, in: Kenneth E. Scott & Thomas H. Jackson & John B. Taylor (ed.), Making Failure Feasible, chapter 4, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
    12. Christian Brownlees & Robert F. Engle, 2017. "SRISK: A Conditional Capital Shortfall Measure of Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 48-79.
    13. Umar Faruqui & Wenqian Huang & Előd Takáts, 2018. "Clearing risks in OTC derivatives markets: the CCP-bank nexus," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    14. Cecchetti, Stephen & Berner, Richard & Schoenholtz, Kermit L., 2019. "Stress Testing Networks: The Case of Central Counterparties," CEPR Discussion Papers 13604, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Glasserman, Paul & Young, H. Peyton, 2016. "Contagion in financial networks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68681, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    16. Paul Glasserman & H. Peyton Young, 2016. "Contagion in Financial Networks," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 54(3), pages 779-831, September.
    17. Schuermann, Til, 2014. "Stress testing banks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 717-728.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cecchetti, Stephen & Berner, Richard & Schoenholtz, Kermit L., 2019. "Stress Testing Networks: The Case of Central Counterparties," CEPR Discussion Papers 13604, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Spiros Bougheas & Adam Hal Spencer, 2022. "Fire sales and ex ante valuation of systemic risk: A financial equilibrium networks approach," Discussion Papers 2022/04, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    2. Navarro, Noemí & Tran, Dan H., 2018. "Shock Diffusion in Regular Networks: The Role of Transitive Cycles," MPRA Paper 86267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Mardi Dungey & Moses Kangogo & Vladimir Volkov, 2022. "Dynamic effects of network exposure on equity markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(4), pages 569-629, December.
    4. Tran, Ngoc-Khanh & Vuong, Thao & Zeckhauser, Richard, 2016. "Loss Sequencing in Banking Networks: Threatened Banks as Strategic Dominoes," Working Paper Series 16-030, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    5. Shakya, Shasta, 2022. "Geographic networks and spillovers between banks," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Nicolas Houy & Frédéric Jouneau & François Le Grand, 2020. "Defaulting firms and systemic risks in financial networks: a normative approach," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 70(2), pages 503-526, September.
    7. Allen, Franklin & Gu, Xian, 2018. "The Interplay between Regulations and Financial Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 12862, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Capponi, Agostino & Corell, Felix & Stiglitz, Joseph E., 2022. "Optimal bailouts and the doom loop with a financial network," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 35-50.
    9. Mark Paddrik & Sriram Rajan & H. Peyton Young, 2016. "Contagion in the CDS Market," Working Papers 16-12, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    10. Agostino Capponi & Xu Sun & David D. Yao, 2020. "A Dynamic Network Model of Interbank Lending—Systemic Risk and Liquidity Provisioning," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 45(3), pages 1127-1152, August.
    11. Jose Arreola Hernandez & Sang Hoon Kang & Ron P. McIver & Seong-Min Yoon, 2021. "Network Interdependence and Optimization of Bank Portfolios from Developed and Emerging Asia Pacific Countries," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(4), pages 613-647, December.
    12. Tang, Qihe & Tong, Zhiwei & Xun, Li, 2022. "Insurance risk analysis of financial networks vulnerable to a shock," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(2), pages 756-771.
    13. Cuba, Walter & Rodriguez-Martinez, Anahi & Chavez, Diego A. & Caccioli, Fabio & Martinez-Jaramillo, Serafin, 2021. "A network characterization of the interbank exposures in Peru," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(3).
    14. Nadine Walters & Gusti Van Zyl & Conrad Beyers, 2019. "Financial Contagion In Large, Inhomogeneous Stochastic Interbank Networks," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(02), pages 1-26, March.
    15. Wiersema, Garbrand & Kleinnijenhuis, Alissa M. & Kemp, Esti & Wetzer, Thom, 2025. "Higher-order exposures," Working Paper Series 3091, European Central Bank.
    16. Christian Gross & Pierre L. Siklos, 2020. "Analyzing credit risk transmission to the nonfinancial sector in Europe: A network approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 61-81, January.
    17. Fricke, Christoph & Fricke, Daniel, 2017. "Vulnerable Funds?," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168209, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    18. Marco Bardoscia & Paolo Barucca & Adam Brinley Codd & John Hill, 2017. "The decline of solvency contagion risk," Bank of England working papers 662, Bank of England.
    19. Paddrick, Mark & Rajan, Sriram & Young, H. Peyton, 2020. "Contagion in derivatives markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100868, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    20. Ramírez, Carlos, 2020. "Regulating financial networks under uncertainty," ESRB Working Paper Series 107, European Systemic Risk Board.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:13604. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cepr.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.