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Co-integration and leadership in the European off-season fresh fruit market

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  • GIOT, Pierre

    (Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), Université catholique de Louvain (UCL), 1348 Louvain la Neuve, Belgium)

  • HENRY DE FRAHAN, Bruno

    (Unité d’économie rurale, Université catholique de Louvain (UCL), 1348 Louvain la Neuve, Belgium)

  • PIROTTE, Nicolas

Abstract

This paper tests market co-integration, market leadership and price margins in the context of the recent development of European markets for imported off-season fresh fruit from countries in the southern hemisphere. The Engle-Granger and Johansen co-integration tests show that the main European markets for off-season fresh apples and table grapes were well integrated during the 1994-97 period. The vector autoregressive - error correction mechanism (VAR-ECM) model form is used to characterise the spatial co-integrating relationships among these markets during the same period. Statistical tests on meaningful restrictions on these VAR-ECM models show that the major import market of Rotterdam significantly leads the wholesale markets for table grapes in Germany down the supply chain but does not lead the wholesale markets in France and Germany for apples. They also show higher price margins between the import and wholesale markets for table grapes than for apples. The table grape variety imported from South Africawas consistently traded at a higher price during the 1994-98 period compared to the same variety from Chile. Using an industry survey, this paper discusses the econometric results and provides recommendations.

Suggested Citation

  • GIOT, Pierre & HENRY DE FRAHAN, Bruno & PIROTTE, Nicolas, 1999. "Co-integration and leadership in the European off-season fresh fruit market," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 1999022, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    • Handle: RePEc:cor:louvco:1999022
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    File URL: https://sites.uclouvain.be/core/publications/coredp/coredp1999.html
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
    3. Banerjee, Anindya & Dolado, Juan J. & Galbraith, John W. & Hendry, David, 1993. "Co-integration, Error Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Data," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198288107.
    4. James G. MacKinnon, 1990. "Critical Values for Cointegration Tests," Working Paper 1227, Economics Department, Queen's University.
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