IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cns/cnscwp/201707.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Clustering Space-Time Series: A Flexible STAR Approach

Author

Listed:
  • E. Otranto
  • M. Mucciardi

Abstract

The STAR model is widely used to represent the dynamics of a certain variable recorded at several locations at the same time. Its advantages are often discussed in terms of parsimony with respect to space-time VAR structures because it considers a single coefficient for each time and spatial lag. This hypothesis can be very strong; we add a certain degree of flexibility to the STAR model, providing the possibility for coefficients to vary in groups of locations. The new class of models is compared to the classical STAR and the space-time VAR by simulations and an application.

Suggested Citation

  • E. Otranto & M. Mucciardi, 2017. "Clustering Space-Time Series: A Flexible STAR Approach," Working Paper CRENoS 201707, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
  • Handle: RePEc:cns:cnscwp:201707
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://crenos.unica.it/crenos/node/7082
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://crenos.unica.it/crenos/sites/default/files/wp-17-07.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Steece, Bert & Wood, Steven, 1985. "A Test for the Equivalence of k ARMA Models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 1-11.
    2. Michele Aquaro & Natalia Bailey & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2015. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Spatial Models with Heterogeneous Coefficients," Working Papers 749, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    3. Lawrence Hubert & Phipps Arabie, 1985. "Comparing partitions," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 2(1), pages 193-218, December.
    4. Otranto, Edoardo, 2010. "Identifying financial time series with similar dynamic conditional correlation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 1-15, January.
    5. Massimo Mucciardi & Pietro Bertuccelli, 2012. "The impact of the weight matrix on the local indicators of spatial association: an application to per-capita value added in Italy," International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(2), pages 133-141.
    6. Otranto, Edoardo, 2008. "Clustering heteroskedastic time series by model-based procedures," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(10), pages 4685-4698, June.
    7. Pinkse, Joris & Slade, Margaret E., 1998. "Contracting in space: An application of spatial statistics to discrete-choice models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 85(1), pages 125-154, July.
    8. LeSage, James P. & Chih, Yao-Yu, 2016. "Interpreting heterogeneous coefficient spatial autoregressive panel models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 1-5.
    9. Giacomini, Raffaella & Granger, Clive W.J., 2001. "Aggregationn of Space-Time Processes," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt77f76455, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    10. Giacomini, Raffaella & Granger, Clive W. J., 2004. "Aggregation of space-time processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1-2), pages 7-26.
    11. Edoardo Otranto & Massimo Mucciardi & Pietro Bertuccelli, 2016. "Spatial effects in dynamic conditional correlations," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(4), pages 604-626, March.
    12. F Stetzer, 1982. "Specifying Weights in Spatial Forecasting Models: The Results of Some Experiments," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 14(5), pages 571-584, May.
    13. Fruhwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia & Kaufmann, Sylvia, 2008. "Model-Based Clustering of Multiple Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 78-89, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Edoardo Otranto & Massimo Mucciardi, 2019. "Clustering space-time series: FSTAR as a flexible STAR approach," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 13(1), pages 175-199, March.
    2. M. Mucciardi & E. Otranto, 2016. "A Flexible Specification of Space–Time AutoRegressive Models," Working Paper CRENoS 201608, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    3. Otranto, Edoardo, 2010. "Identifying financial time series with similar dynamic conditional correlation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 1-15, January.
    4. Kelejian, Harry H. & Prucha, Ingmar R., 2004. "Estimation of simultaneous systems of spatially interrelated cross sectional equations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1-2), pages 27-50.
    5. Edoardo Otranto & Romana Gargano, 2015. "Financial clustering in presence of dominant markets," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 9(3), pages 315-339, September.
    6. Lambert, Dayton M. & Malzer, Gary L. & Lowenberg-DeBoer, James, 2004. "General Moment And Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of A Spatially Autocorrelated System Of Equations: An Empirical Example Using On-Farm Precision Agriculture Data," Staff Papers 28667, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    7. Hengzhou Xu & Chuanrong Zhang & Weidong Li & Wenjing Zhang & Hongchun Yin, 2018. "Economic growth and carbon emission in China:a spatial econometric Kuznets curve?," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 36(1), pages 11-28.
    8. Roger Bivand, 2008. "Implementing Representations Of Space In Economic Geography," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(1), pages 1-27, February.
    9. Gopal K. Basak & Arnab Bhattacharjee & Samarjit Das, 2018. "Causal ordering and inference on acyclic networks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 213-232, August.
    10. Carson, Richard T. & Cenesizoglu, Tolga & Parker, Roger, 2011. "Forecasting (aggregate) demand for US commercial air travel," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 923-941.
    11. Giacomini, Raffaella & Granger, Clive W. J., 2004. "Aggregation of space-time processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1-2), pages 7-26.
    12. Gu, Huaying & Liu, Zhixue & Weng, Yingliang, 2017. "Time-varying correlations in global real estate markets: A multivariate GARCH with spatial effects approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 460-472.
    13. Raffaella Giacomini, 2014. "Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature," CeMMAP working papers 41/14, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    14. Auffhammer, Maximilian & Carson, Richard T., 2006. "Forecasting the Path of China's CO2 Emissions: Offsetting Kyoto - and Then Some," CUDARE Working Papers 7197, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    15. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Chudik, Alexander, 2014. "Aggregation in large dynamic panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 273-285.
    16. Doupe, Patrick, 2014. "The costs of error in setting reference rates for reduced deforestation," Working Papers 249497, Australian National University, Centre for Climate Economics & Policy.
    17. Arnab Bhattacharjee & Sean Holly, 2013. "Understanding Interactions in Social Networks and Committees," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 23-53, March.
    18. Peter M Robinson, 2009. "Developments in the Analysis of Spatial Data," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 531, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    19. Prodosh Simlai, 2018. "Spatial Dependence, Idiosyncratic Risk, and the Valuation of Disaggregated Housing Data," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 192-230, August.
    20. Aielli, Gian Piero & Caporin, Massimiliano, 2014. "Variance clustering improved dynamic conditional correlation MGARCH estimators," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 556-576.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    clustering; forecasting; space–time models; spatial weight matrix;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cns:cnscwp:201707. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CRENoS (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/crenoit.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.