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Vertical Integration in Tradable Green Certificate Markets

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  • Jessica Coria
  • Jūratė Jaraitė

Abstract

This study examines how the impact of Tradable Green Certificates (TGC) on profitability and investment behavior varies depending on the vertical integration status of regulated firms. Our theoretical model predicts that vertical integration does not lead to higher profits when internal pricing aligns with market values for green certificates. However, it stimulates greater investment in renewable electric capacity since it reduces the costs of the sourced certificates. Empirical analysis of the Swedish TGC system confirms these findings, revealing that vertically integrated firms did not experience profit increases. Instead, they exhibited distinct investment patterns, prioritizing cost-effective technologies like hydro and thermal capacity over more expensive renewables, in contrast to non-integrated firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Jessica Coria & Jūratė Jaraitė, 2024. "Vertical Integration in Tradable Green Certificate Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 11079, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_11079
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    renewable energy; tradable green certificates; vertical integration; firm-level data; causal effects; profits; investments; Sweden;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L10 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - General
    • L50 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - General
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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