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Manufacturing, Services and Premature De-Industrialisation in Developing Countries: A Kaldorian Empirical Analysis

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  • Sukti Dasgupta
  • Ajit Singh

Abstract

This paper uses a Kaldorian framework to examine the evidence of deindustrialisation in developing countries at low levels of income, the jobless growth in these economies and the fast expansion of the informal sector. The questions are specifically examined for the Indian economy using state level data, but the analysis has a wider application for economic policy in developing countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Sukti Dasgupta & Ajit Singh, 2006. "Manufacturing, Services and Premature De-Industrialisation in Developing Countries: A Kaldorian Empirical Analysis," Working Papers wp327, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbr:cbrwps:wp327
    Note: PRO-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Marija Beg & Martina Basarac Sertic & Ivo Druzic, 2017. "Determinants of Deindustrialisation in Developed European and Post-Communist Countries," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 13(2), pages 93-106.
    2. Roy Amrita, 2015. "Expansion of Services Output Share: Traditional Factors or Policy Changes?," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 15(3), pages 409-430, September.
    3. Rainer Przywara, 2017. "Deindustrialization - Opportunity or Threat?," Athens Journal of Business & Economics, Athens Institute for Education and Research (ATINER), vol. 3(4), pages 427-462, October.
    4. Correa Mautz, Felipe, 2016. "Pobreza, desigualdad y estructura productiva en ciudades: evidencia desde Chile usando datos de panel," Desarrollo Productivo 40842, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    5. Agustiar, Memet, 2013. "Structural Transformation in West Kalimantan Towards ASEAN Economic Community 2015," MPRA Paper 66552, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2013.
    6. Sher Singh Verick, 2016. "Manufacturing and jobs: is India different?," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 59(1), pages 57-84, March.
    7. Amrita Roy, 2022. "Structural change and labour productivity trend in the non-agricultural sector: a study of Asia," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 19(2), pages 227-249, December.
    8. Çakır, Muhammet Sait & Aydemir, Resul, 2022. "A Dutch disease approach into the premature deindustrialization," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    9. Alexandre Messa, 2012. "Structural Change in The Brazilian Economy in The 2000s," Discussion Papers 1770, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    10. Maria Savona, 2021. "Revisiting High Development Theory to Explain Upgrading Prospects in Business Services Global Value Chains," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 33(2), pages 206-226, April.
    11. Wilson Quijano & Diego Alejandro Guevara-Castañeda, 2021. "Desindustrialización: evidencias desde una mirada kaldoriana para Colombia (2005-2017)," Ensayos de Economía 19342, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.
    12. Peter Mayerhofer, 2007. "De-Industrialisierung in Wien(?) Zur abnehmenden Bedeutung der Sachgütererzeugung für das Wiener Beschäftigungssystem: Umfang, Gründe, Wirkungsmechanismen," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 33120, October.
    13. Gisela Di Meglio & Jorge Gallego & Andrés Maroto & Maria Savona, 2018. "Services in Developing Economies: The Deindustrialization Debate in Perspective," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 49(6), pages 1495-1525, November.
    14. Rainer Przywara, 2019. "The Interrelation between Manufacturing Productivity, Maximum Sectoral Employment and National Income Per Capita," Athens Journal of Business & Economics, Athens Institute for Education and Research (ATINER), vol. 5(2), pages 93-122, April.
    15. Ghani, Ejaz, 2012. "Service with a Smile," World Bank - Economic Premise, The World Bank, issue 96, pages 1-6, November.
    16. Singh, Nirvikar, 2006. "Services-Led Industrialization in India: Assessment and Lessons," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt8jn2b8z6, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
    17. Roy, Satyaki, 2007. "Structural change in employment in India since 1980s: How Lewisian is it?," MPRA Paper 18009, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2008.
    18. Isabelle Bensidoun & Françoise Lemoine & Deniz Ünal, 2009. "The integration of China and India into the world economy: a comparison," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 6(1), pages 131-155, June.
    19. Cáceres, Luis René, 2017. "Deindustrialization and economic stagnation in El Salvador," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    20. Yazgan, Sekip & Marangoz, Cumali & Bulut, Emre, 2022. "The turning point of regional deindustrialization in the U.S.: Evidence from panel and time-series data," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 294-304.
    21. Yahya Z. ALSHEHHI & Jozsef POPP, 2017. "Sectoral Analysis: Growth Accounting Of Tertiary Industries," SEA - Practical Application of Science, Romanian Foundation for Business Intelligence, Editorial Department, issue 14, pages 221-230, August.
    22. Le-Yin Zhang, 2011. "Is industrialization still a viable development strategy for developing countries under climate change?," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 1159-1176, July.
    23. Amrita Roy, 2015. "Expansion of Services Output Share: Traditional Factors or Policy Changes?," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(3), pages 409-430, September.
    24. Kucera, David, & Roncolato, Leanne., 2012. "Structure matters : sectoral drivers of growth and the labour productivity-employment relationship," ILO Working Papers 994717343402676, International Labour Organization.
    25. Gisela Di Meglio & Jorge Gallego & Andrés Maroto & Maria Savona, 2015. "Services in Developing Economies: A new chance for catching-up?," SPRU Working Paper Series 2015-32, SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex Business School.

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    Keywords

    De-industrialisation; Manufacturing; Services; Jobless Growth; Developing Countries;
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