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Financial Risk of Uruguayan Households

Author

Listed:
  • Fernando Borraz

    (Banco Central del Uruguay)

  • Nicolás González Pampillón

    (Instituto de Economía de Barcelona & Universitat de Barcelona)

Abstract

The objective of this study is twofold. First, we simulate the impact on the finance of Uruguayan households of a negative income shock similar to the one experienced in 2002, finding that the financial risk is mild. We estimate a 175% increases in the number of households with financial burden higher than 0.75. Secondly, we analyze over indebtedness among Uruguayan households. We observe that some variables are correlated with the fact of being over indebted. Nevertheless, when using the burden financial ratio as dependent variable we find that few variables can significantly explain it.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando Borraz & Nicolás González Pampillón, 2015. "Financial Risk of Uruguayan Households," Documentos de trabajo 2015007, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    • Handle: RePEc:bku:doctra:2015007
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    File URL: https://www.bcu.gub.uy/Estadisticas-e-Indicadores/Documentos%20de%20Trabajo/7.2015.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ana del Río & Garry Young, 2005. "The impact of unsecured debt on financial distress among British households," Working Papers 0512, Banco de España.
    2. Giovanni D’Alessio & Stefano Iezzi, 2013. "Household over-indebtedness - Definition and measurement with Italian data," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the Sixth IFC Conference on "Statistical issues and activities in a changing environment", Basel, 28-29 August 2012., volume 36, pages 496-517, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Rodrigo Alfaro & Natalia Gallardo, 2012. "The Determinants of Household Debt Default," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 27(1), pages 55-70, April.
    4. Roberto Alvarez & Luis Opazo, 2013. "Household Debt during the Financial Crisis: Micro-Evidence from Chile," Working Papers wp383, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
    5. Herrala, Risto & Kauko, Karlo, 2007. "Household loan loss risk in Finland: estimations and simulations with micro data," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2007, Bank of Finland.
    6. Miguel Mello & Jorge Ponce, 2014. "The determinants Uruguayan households' indebtedness," Documentos de trabajo 2014010, Banco Central del Uruguay.
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    Cited by:

    1. María Victoria Landaberry, 2019. "Boom de crédito en Uruguay: Identificación y Anticipación," Documentos de trabajo 2019001, Banco Central del Uruguay.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance

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