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Impacto de los desastres naturales en la Vía al Llano sobre el movimiento de carga

Author

Listed:
  • Jhorland Ayala-García
  • Danna Pérez-Ruidiaz

Abstract

Los costos de transporte representan uno de los principales determinantes del comercio subnacional. Los desastres naturales como los deslizamientos de tierra pueden afectar vías principales y reducir el movimiento de carga entre ciudades. La vía Bogotá – Villavicencio en Colombia, conocida como la Vía al Llano, la cual es fundamental para el transporte de productos desde y hacia la región de los llanos orientales, enfrenta desafíos debido a su ubicación geográfica. Este documento analiza cómo los desastres naturales afectan el movimiento de carga por esta vía, así como los costos de fletes para los transportadores. Con datos del Registro Nacional de Despacho de Carga (RNDC) del Ministerio de Transporte y los reportes de estados de las vías del Instituto Nacional de Vías (INVIAS), se encuentra que los desastres naturales que afectan la Vía al Llano incrementan el valor del flete, y disminuyen el volumen de mercancías trasportadas por dicha vía. Esto demuestra que los desastres naturales tienen un efecto negativo sobre el comercio nacional, lo cual puede afectar la dinámica económica regional ante las amenazas del cambio climático. **** ABSTRACT: Transportation costs represent one of the main determinants of the level of subnational trade, and natural disasters such as landslides can affect main roads and reduce the movement of cargo between two cities. The Bogotá – Villavicencio highway in Colombia, known as the Vía al Llano, which is essential for the transportation of products to and from the eastern plains region, faces challenges due to its geographical location. This documents studies how natural disasters affect the movement of cargo along this route, as well as freight faced by transporters. With data from the National Registry of Freight Dispatch (RNDC) of the Ministry of Transportation and the state reports of the roads from the National Highway Institute (INVIAS), it is found that natural disasters that affect the Vía al Llano increase the freight cost and reduce the volume of goods transported. This shows that natural disasters have a negative effect on subnational trade, which can affect regional economic dynamics in the face of the threats of climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Jhorland Ayala-García & Danna Pérez-Ruidiaz, 2024. "Impacto de los desastres naturales en la Vía al Llano sobre el movimiento de carga," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 329, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:region:329
    DOI: 10.32468/dtseru.329
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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