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Italy, Germany, Japan: From Economic Miracles to Virtual Stagnation

  • Andrea Boltho

    ()

    (Magdalen College, University of Oxford)

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    Over the last six decades, economic developments in the three countries that were defeated in World War II look strikingly similar. First came rapid reconstruction. Then followed the economic miracles of the Golden Age. The years that went from the first oil shock to the mid-1990s still saw fairly robust, and relatively similar, economic developments. Finally, during the last 15 years, the three countries held the dubious record of having the lowest output growth rates in the OECD area. The paper looks primarily at Italy, using the examples of Germany and Japan to search for parallels and contrasts. Among similarities, the main one lies in overall macroeconomic trends. The main differences are in economic policies (where Germany and Japan followed a much more orthodox stance than Italy), in institutional set-ups (with Italy much less efficient than Germany and Japan), in labour market relations (with much greater conflict in Italy than in the other two countries), and in regional developments (where Italy was handicapped by the presence of the Mezzogiorno, while Germany and Japan were hardly touched by regional differentials, at least until unification in Germany. Indeed, had Italy's government institutions, labour market relations and regional differentials been less problematic, Italy's growth performance might well have been superior to that of both Germany and Japan.

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    File URL: http://www.bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/quaderni-storia/2011-0014/QSEn_14.pdf
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    Paper provided by Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area in its series Quaderni di storia economica (Economic History Working Papers) with number 14.

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    Date of creation: Oct 2011
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    Handle: RePEc:bdi:workqs:qse_14
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    Web page: http://www.bancaditalia.it
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    1. David G. Blanchflower & Andrew Oswald, 1995. "International Wage Curves," NBER Chapters, in: Differences and Changes in Wage Structures, pages 145-174 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Carlin, Wendy, 1994. "West German Growth and Institutions, 1945-90," CEPR Discussion Papers 896, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. G. Basevi & P. Onofri, 1997. "Uno sguardo retrospettivo alla politica economica italiana negli anni '70," Working Papers 280, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    4. Robert J. Barro & Jong-Wha Lee, 2010. "A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World, 1950-2010," NBER Working Papers 15902, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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