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India and Central Asia Trade Routes and Trade Potential

Author

Listed:
  • Pradeep Agrawal
  • Seema Sangita

    (Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi)

Abstract

In an environment of increasing importance of South–South bilateral trade partnerships, we assess the potential for improving bilateral trade between India and five Central Asian countries in this paper, and construct a trade potential index. We find huge untapped potential for increasing trade, and that India and Central Asia would benefit from policies that encourage trade, including bilateral and regional trade agreements. One of the constraints of trade is a political problem in the countries that fall in the trade route. Hence, we explore the possibility of alternative routes and find that trade via Iran could be viable.

Suggested Citation

  • Pradeep Agrawal & Seema Sangita, 2013. "India and Central Asia Trade Routes and Trade Potential," IEG Working Papers 334, Institute of Economic Growth.
  • Handle: RePEc:awe:wpaper:334
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jakab, Zoltan M. & Kovacs, Mihaly A. & Oszlay, Andras, 2001. "How Far Has Trade Integration Advanced?: An Analysis of the Actual and Potential Trade of Three Central and Eastern European Countries," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 276-292, June.
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    4. World Bank, 2012. "World Development Indicators 2012," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6014, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    India; Central Asia; trade; gravity model; trade potential; trade routes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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