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Testing for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs

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  • Xiaojun Song
  • Haojiao Zhao

Abstract

We propose a nonparametric test for unobserved treatment effect heterogeneity in regression discontinuity designs. Under the null of no unobserved heterogeneity, a transformed outcome that imputes treated potential outcomes for untreated units must have a continuous conditional distribution at the cutoff. We convert this implication into an integrated conditional-moment restriction using characteristic functions, thereby allowing the conditional local average treatment effect to be an unrestricted function of covariates. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics via a $U$-process and establish the validity of a multiplier bootstrap procedure for calculating critical values. Monte Carlo experiments show well-controlled size and increasing power. Two empirical applications illustrate how the test distinguishes between heterogeneity explained by observables and that explained by unobserved factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaojun Song & Haojiao Zhao, 2026. "Testing for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2609.27691, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2609.27691
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Max H. Farrell & Rocío Titiunik, 2019. "Regression Discontinuity Designs Using Covariates," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 101(3), pages 442-451, July.
    2. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocio Titiunik, 2014. "Robust Nonparametric Confidence Intervals for Regression‐Discontinuity Designs," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82, pages 2295-2326, November.
    3. Yu‐Chin Hsu & Shu Shen, 2021. "Testing monotonicity of conditional treatment effects under regression discontinuity designs," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 346-366, April.
    4. Guido Imbens & Karthik Kalyanaraman, 2012. "Optimal Bandwidth Choice for the Regression Discontinuity Estimator," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 79(3), pages 933-959.
    5. Hsu, Yu-Chin & Shen, Shu, 2019. "Testing treatment effect heterogeneity in regression discontinuity designs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 468-486.
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