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Regression Discontinuity Design With Potentially Many Covariates

Author

Listed:
  • Arai, Yoichi
  • Otsu, Taisuke
  • Seo, Myung Hwan

Abstract

This article examines high-dimensional covariates in regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. We introduce estimation and inference methods for the RDD models that incorporate covariate selection while maintaining stability across various numbers of covariates. The proposed methods combine a localization approach using kernel weights with $\ell _{1}$ -penalization to handle high-dimensional covariates. We provide both theoretical and numerical evidence demonstrating the efficacy of our methods. Theoretically, we present risk and coverage properties for our point estimation and inference methods. Conditions are given under which the proposed estimator becomes more efficient than the conventional covariate adjusted estimator at the cost of an additional sparsity condition. Numerically, our simulation experiments and empirical examples show the robust behaviors of the proposed methods to the number of covariates in terms of bias and variance for point estimation and coverage probability and interval length for inference.

Suggested Citation

  • Arai, Yoichi & Otsu, Taisuke & Seo, Myung Hwan, 2025. "Regression Discontinuity Design With Potentially Many Covariates," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 41(6), pages 1416-1451, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:41:y:2025:i:6:p:1416-1451_6
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Matias D. Cattaneo & RocĂ­o Titiunik, 2022. "Regression Discontinuity Designs," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 821-851, August.
    3. Matias D. Cattaneo & Luke Keele & Rocio Titiunik, 2021. "Covariate Adjustment in Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2110.08410, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    4. Matias D. Cattaneo & Luke Keele & Rocio Titiunik, 2023. "A Guide to Regression Discontinuity Designs in Medical Applications," Papers 2302.07413, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    5. Arai, Yoichi & Otsu, Taisuke & Seo, Myung Hwan, 2025. "Regression Discontinuity Design With Potentially Many Covariates," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 41(6), pages 1416-1451, December.
    6. Alexander Krei{ss} & Christoph Rothe, 2021. "Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs with High-Dimensional Covariates," Papers 2110.13725, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    7. Masayuki Sawada & Takuya Ishihara & Daisuke Kurisu & Yasumasa Matsuda, 2024. "Local-Polynomial Estimation for Multivariate Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2402.08941, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2026.
    8. Alexander Kreiss & Christoph Rothe, 2023. "Inference in regression discontinuity designs with high-dimensional covariates," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 26(2), pages 105-123.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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