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It Takes Two to Tango, but More to Assess Systemic Risk: Credit Networks Through the Lens of Hypergraphs

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  • Federico D. Forte

Abstract

This paper provides the first analysis of credit relationships between financial institutions and firms through the lens of hypergraphs. Unlike traditional network approaches, which rely on pairwise connections, this framework explicitly represents the shared exposure of multiple financial institutions to the same firm as a simultaneous multilateral relationship. The approach is applied empirically to Credit Registry data from the Central Bank of Argentina, covering the period from August 2023 to December 2025 and focusing on commercial loans between banks and firms. Traditional centrality metrics are compared with hypergraph-specific measures to identify systemically relevant institutions. The paper also proposes an adjusted version of H-eigenvector centrality that nonlinearly weights both the centrality of neighboring institutions and each creditor's lending amount, in order to assess the relevance of a bank within the network. The systemic impact of shocking the top-ranked institutions according to each centrality metric is then estimated through an adaptation of the DebtRank algorithm. The results show that the proposed framework identifies institutions with greater shock-amplification capacity, providing a complementary tool for financial supervision and regulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Federico D. Forte, 2026. "It Takes Two to Tango, but More to Assess Systemic Risk: Credit Networks Through the Lens of Hypergraphs," Papers 2607.10943, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2607.10943
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    File URL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2607.10943
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